NCAA Tournament
Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Los Angeles
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) UCLA (1-2) 90.5 67.7 38.0 ---
Virginia Tech (0-2) 7.1 2.4 --- ---
Cal Poly ✓ (3-0) 2.3 26.6 58.6 ---
Saint Mary's College (2-2) 0.1 3.3 3.4 ---
Atlanta
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Georgia Tech (2-2) 90.7 87.1 90.0 68.3
Oklahoma ✓ (4-1) 6.6 11.6 5.0 31.7
The Citadel (1-2) 2.6 1.2 5.0 ---
UIC (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Athens
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Georgia ✓ (3-0) 77.4 80.5 85.6 ---
Boston College (1-2) 12.5 3.2 6.6 ---
Liberty (2-2) 10.0 16.2 7.8 ---
Long Island (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Auburn
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) Auburn ✓ (4-1) 67.3 14.2 37.6 80.5
UCF (1-2) 19.1 77.0 24.2 ---
North Carolina State (0-2) 13.5 8.7 --- ---
Milwaukee (2-2) 0.1 0.1 38.2 19.5
Chapel Hill
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) North Carolina ✓ (3-0) 65.3 76.6 86.5 ---
Tennessee (0-2) 18.8 4.0 --- ---
East Carolina (2-2) 13.7 19.3 9.5 ---
VCU (1-2) 2.2 0.1 4.0 ---
Austin
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) Texas ✓ (3-0) 72.9 79.3 84.6 ---
UC Santa Barbara (2-2) 19.9 6.9 8.7 ---
Tarleton State (1-2) 7.1 13.7 6.7 ---
Holy Cross (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Tuscaloosa
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Alabama ✓ (3-0) 61.0 73.2 80.8 ---
Oklahoma State (2-2) 35.1 15.0 13.6 ---
South Carolina Upstate (1-2) 3.8 11.8 5.6 ---
Alabama State (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Gainesville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) Florida (2-2) 60.8 55.0 81.0 60.0
Miami (FL) (1-2) 32.0 42.3 12.0 ---
Troy ✓ (4-1) 7.1 2.6 7.0 40.0
Rider (0-2) 0.2 0.1 --- ---
Hattiesburg
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(9) Southern Miss (0-2) 42.2 13.0 --- ---
Virginia (1-2) 23.7 5.8 15.8 ---
Jacksonville State (2-2) 27.2 61.6 18.2 ---
Little Rock ✓ (3-0) 6.9 19.6 66.0 ---
Tallahassee
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(10) Florida State (2-2) 63.4 46.3 32.6 44.7
Coastal Carolina (0-2) 33.0 14.0 --- ---
Northern Illinois (1-2) 0.2 7.7 4.6 ---
Saint John's ✓ (3-0) 3.3 32.0 62.8 55.3
Eugene
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(11) Oregon ✓ (3-0) 50.5 83.1 82.0 ---
Oregon State (2-2) 47.1 13.6 15.3 ---
Washington State (1-2) 0.4 2.3 2.7 ---
Yale (0-2) 2.0 1.0 --- ---
College Station
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(12) Texas A&M (2-2) 64.5 85.4 84.4 53.8
USC ✓ (4-1) 30.9 7.4 11.2 46.2
Texas State (1-2) 2.4 6.6 8.4 ---
Lamar (0-2) 2.3 0.6 --- ---
Lincoln
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(13) Nebraska (1-2) 52.8 51.0 15.5 ---
Ole Miss ✓ (3-0) 26.5 40.4 72.9 ---
Arizona State (2-2) 20.6 8.5 11.6 ---
South Dakota State (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Starkville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(14) Mississippi State ✓ (3-0) 77.8 72.8 86.1 ---
Cincinnati (1-2) 17.0 25.0 8.0 ---
Louisiana (2-2) 5.1 2.2 5.9 ---
Lipscomb (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Lawrence
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(15) Kansas ✓ (3-0) 37.3 49.8 85.1 ---
Arkansas (2-2) 27.9 43.5 8.4 ---
Missouri State (0-2) 17.1 3.9 --- ---
Northeastern (1-2) 17.7 2.8 6.5 ---
Morgantown
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(16) West Virginia ✓ (4-1) 56.0 66.1 17.7 58.4
Wake Forest (1-2) 36.3 15.4 15.3 ---
Kentucky (2-2) 7.6 18.4 67.0 41.6
Binghamton (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---