NCAA Tournament - Women's College World Series (WCWS) Prediction

Each game of the WCWS is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the WCWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
** crossover game(s) probability

WCWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5
(1) Texas ✓ (3-0) 50.3% 60.7% 61.0% 88.5% 84.8%
(4) Florida (3-2) 27.7% 35.0% 36.2% 8.8% 44.7% **
(5) Oklahoma State (0-2) 12.3% 2.2% --- --- ---
(8) Stanford (2-2) 9.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 15.2%

WCWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5
(2) Oklahoma ✓ (3-1) 58.3% 71.5% 73.1% 95.0% 55.3% **
(6) UCLA (1-2) 8.5% 19.5% 25.2% 2.7% ---
(10) Duke (0-2) 29.9% 8.6% --- --- ---
(14) Alabama (1-2) 3.3% 0.4% 1.6% 2.3% ---

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2024 National Championship

Initial Updated
Oklahoma ✓ 31.0% 76.2%
Texas 22.7% 23.8%
Florida 14.7% ---
Stanford 4.2% ---
UCLA 4.1% ---
Alabama 1.6% ---
Duke 15.5% ---
Oklahoma State 6.2% ---

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