NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Winston-Salem
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (1) Wake Forest |
(3-0) |
77.2% |
72.8% |
94.1% |
✓ |
| Maryland |
(1-2) |
12.0% |
22.4% |
5.8% |
--- |
| Northeastern |
(0-2) |
10.7% |
4.7% |
--- |
--- |
| George Mason |
(2-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Gainesville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (2) Florida |
(4-1) |
62.5% |
65.0% |
24.7% |
56.1% ✓ |
| Connecticut |
(1-2) |
20.8% |
8.8% |
9.5% |
--- |
| Texas Tech |
(2-2) |
16.5% |
26.1% |
65.8% |
43.9% |
| Florida A&M |
(0-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Fayetteville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (3) Arkansas |
(2-2) |
50.1% |
57.0% |
19.9% |
--- |
| TCU |
(3-0) |
27.1% |
38.2% |
78.5% |
✓ |
| Arizona |
(0-2) |
18.6% |
4.5% |
--- |
--- |
| Santa Clara |
(1-2) |
4.2% |
0.3% |
1.7% |
--- |
Clemson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (4) Clemson |
(1-2) |
53.2% |
51.7% |
19.6% |
--- |
| Tennessee |
(3-0) |
41.7% |
47.4% |
78.7% |
✓ |
| Charlotte |
(2-2) |
4.2% |
0.8% |
1.7% |
--- |
| Lipscomb |
(0-2) |
0.9% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Baton Rouge
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (5) LSU |
(3-0) |
73.7% |
67.8% |
91.5% |
✓ |
| Oregon State |
(2-2) |
21.4% |
30.3% |
6.6% |
--- |
| Sam Houston State |
(1-2) |
4.7% |
1.7% |
1.9% |
--- |
| Tulane |
(0-2) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
--- |
--- |
Nashville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (6) Vanderbilt |
(1-2) |
62.8% |
62.2% |
14.8% |
--- |
| Oregon |
(3-0) |
20.1% |
32.0% |
74.6% |
✓ |
| Xavier |
(2-2) |
16.5% |
5.7% |
10.6% |
--- |
| Eastern Illinois |
(0-2) |
0.6% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Charlottesville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (7) Virginia |
(3-0) |
71.0% |
71.3% |
94.8% |
✓ |
| East Carolina |
(2-2) |
23.1% |
27.5% |
4.2% |
--- |
| Oklahoma |
(1-2) |
3.7% |
1.1% |
1.0% |
--- |
| Army |
(0-2) |
2.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Stanford
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (8) Stanford |
(4-1) |
59.3% |
56.2% |
19.3% |
54.4% ✓ |
| Texas A&M |
(2-2) |
33.0% |
41.9% |
77.1% |
45.6% |
| Cal State Fullerton |
(1-2) |
7.0% |
1.8% |
3.6% |
--- |
| San Jose State |
(0-2) |
0.7% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Coral Gables
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (9) Miami (FL) |
(2-2) |
52.2% |
50.5% |
14.6% |
--- |
| Texas |
(3-0) |
32.7% |
43.9% |
78.3% |
✓ |
| Louisiana |
(1-2) |
14.9% |
5.5% |
7.1% |
--- |
| Maine |
(0-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Conway
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (10) Coastal Carolina |
(2-2) |
48.0% |
18.7% |
22.6% |
50.7% |
| Duke |
(3-1) |
41.6% |
71.5% |
76.6% |
49.3% ✓ |
| UNCW |
(0-2) |
8.4% |
3.5% |
--- |
--- |
| Rider |
(1-2) |
2.0% |
6.3% |
0.8% |
--- |
Stillwater
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (11) Oklahoma State |
(0-2) |
41.8% |
16.0% |
--- |
--- |
| Dallas Baptist |
(2-2) |
33.1% |
9.3% |
22.6% |
--- |
| Washington |
(1-2) |
11.9% |
38.2% |
10.2% |
--- |
| Oral Roberts |
(3-0) |
13.2% |
36.5% |
67.2% |
✓ |
Lexington
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (12) Kentucky |
(4-1) |
63.5% |
70.3% |
24.7% |
59.0% ✓ |
| West Virginia |
(1-2) |
27.0% |
10.0% |
13.8% |
--- |
| Indiana |
(2-2) |
9.4% |
19.6% |
58.6% |
41.0% |
| Ball State |
(0-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Auburn
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (13) Auburn |
(0-2) |
49.3% |
21.4% |
--- |
--- |
| Southern Miss |
(4-1) |
38.9% |
16.7% |
36.6% |
62.5% ✓ |
| Samford |
(1-2) |
7.5% |
38.2% |
11.9% |
--- |
| Penn |
(2-2) |
4.3% |
23.7% |
51.5% |
37.5% |
Terre Haute
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (14) Indiana State |
(3-0) |
40.3% |
44.8% |
80.3% |
✓ |
| Iowa |
(2-2) |
37.3% |
48.8% |
12.1% |
--- |
| North Carolina |
(1-2) |
19.9% |
6.1% |
7.6% |
--- |
| Wright State |
(0-2) |
2.5% |
0.3% |
--- |
--- |
Columbia
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (15) South Carolina |
(3-0) |
51.0% |
61.6% |
79.1% |
✓ |
| Campbell |
(2-2) |
36.1% |
15.1% |
15.6% |
--- |
| North Carolina State |
(1-2) |
12.6% |
23.2% |
5.3% |
--- |
| Central Connecticut |
(0-2) |
0.3% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Tuscaloosa
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (16) Alabama |
(3-0) |
76.7% |
81.0% |
92.6% |
✓ |
| Boston College |
(2-2) |
14.7% |
4.3% |
3.9% |
--- |
| Troy |
(1-2) |
8.3% |
14.6% |
3.5% |
--- |
| Nicholls |
(0-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
