NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions

Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

Knoxville

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) Tennessee (3-0) 89.4% 94.4% 98.0%
Georgia Tech (2-2) 8.0% 1.5% 1.1% ---
Campbell (1-2) 2.5% 4.0% 0.9% ---
Alabama State (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Stanford

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Stanford (4-1) 62.7% 58.2% 15.0% 56.0%
Texas State (2-2) 22.5% 34.6% 75.7% 44.0%
UC Santa Barbara (1-2) 14.7% 7.1% 9.3% ---
Binghamton (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Corvallis

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Oregon State (3-1) 65.8% 69.1% 88.0% 56.7%
Vanderbilt (3-2) 22.5% 7.4% 6.5% 43.3%
San Diego (1-2) 11.6% 23.4% 5.5% ---
New Mexico State (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Blacksburg

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) Virginia Tech (3-0) 78.8% 88.8% 95.2%
Gonzaga (1-2) 18.7% 4.8% 3.7% ---
Columbia (2-2) 2.4% 6.4% 1.1% ---
Wright State (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

College Station

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) Texas A&M (3-0) 40.5% 61.1% 86.3%
TCU (2-2) 25.5% 6.5% 7.6% ---
Louisiana (1-2) 14.7% 27.8% 6.1% ---
Oral Roberts (0-2) 19.3% 4.6% --- ---

Coral Gables

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) Miami (FL) (1-2) 62.4% 60.6% 22.5% ---
Arizona (2-2) 12.6% 4.5% 5.4% 19.3%
Ole Miss (3-0) 24.9% 34.8% 72.1% 80.7%
Canisius (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Stillwater

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Oklahoma State (3-2) 50.8% 52.4% 22.3% 53.0%
Arkansas (3-1) 31.8% 42.2% 76.8% 47.0%
Grand Canyon (0-2) 15.0% 5.1% --- ---
Missouri State (1-2) 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% ---

Greenville

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) East Carolina (3-1) 29.4% 27.8% 59.7% 48.3%
Virginia (1-2) 49.7% 63.3% 29.0% ---
Coastal Carolina (3-2) 20.8% 8.8% 11.3% 51.7%
Coppin State (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Austin

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(9) Texas (3-0) 53.9% 61.4% 91.9%
Louisiana Tech (1-2) 25.3% 35.9% 5.3% ---
Dallas Baptist (0-2) 9.7% 1.7% --- ---
Air Force (2-2) 11.1% 1.0% 2.8% ---

Chapel Hill

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(10) North Carolina (4-1) 66.5% 74.5% 32.0% 60.2%
Georgia (1-2) 24.0% 8.4% 12.2% ---
VCU (2-2) 9.2% 17.0% 55.8% 39.8%
Hofstra (0-2) 0.3% 0.1% --- ---

Hattiesburg

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(11) Southern Miss (4-1) 49.7% 48.7% 17.0% 50.7%
LSU (2-2) 42.7% 49.6% 81.1% 49.3%
Kennesaw State (1-2) 6.2% 1.7% 1.9% ---
Army (0-2) 1.4% 0.1% --- ---

Louisville

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(12) Louisville (4-1) 55.4% 77.6% 34.9% 63.3%
Oregon (1-2) 34.5% 9.6% 19.9% ---
Michigan (2-2) 5.7% 11.9% 45.2% 36.7%
Southeast Missouri (0-2) 4.4% 0.9% --- ---

Gainesville

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(13) Florida (3-2) 54.9% 59.4% 21.3% 56.4%
Oklahoma (3-1) 20.6% 32.0% 78.0% 43.6%
Liberty (0-2) 23.3% 8.4% --- ---
Central Michigan (1-2) 1.2% 0.2% 0.7% ---

Auburn

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(14) Auburn (3-0) 60.3% 64.3% 86.8% 79.6%
UCLA (2-2) 24.9% 9.4% 6.4% 20.4%
Florida State (1-2) 14.5% 26.2% 6.8% ---
Southeastern Louisiana (0-2) 0.3% 0.1% --- ---

College Park

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(15) Maryland (3-2) 53.5% 57.1% 20.2% 54.9%
Wake Forest (1-2) 31.0% 13.7% 13.4% ---
Connecticut (3-1) 15.4% 29.1% 66.4% 45.1%
Long Island (0-2) 0.1% 0.1% --- ---

Statesboro

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(16) Georgia Southern (1-2) 39.1% 42.6% 13.2% ---
Notre Dame (3-0) 34.6% 47.1% 76.6%
Texas Tech (2-2) 25.8% 10.2% 10.2% ---
UNCG (0-2) 0.5% 0.1% --- ---