Game Result Predictions for Today, February 22


The Resid Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
The ELO Prediction each team's margin of victory and probability of winning the game.

 
Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (6-17) 64 53 +18.0 8% +24.5 0%
Abilene Christian (16-8) 72 71 -18.0 92% -24.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Miami (OH) (8-18) 66 59 +8.0 24% +7.0 10%
Akron (7-17) 62 67 -8.0 76% -7.0 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Navy (19-7) 48 59 +4.0 36% -9.5 95%
American (13-14) 50 63 -4.0 64% +9.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Tennessee-Martin (10-18) 60 69 +12.0 16% -2.5 69%
Austin Peay (11-15) 85 81 -12.0 84% +2.5 31%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Nevada (9-16) 74 61 +18.0 8% +20.0 0%
Boise State (17-7) 77 79 -18.0 92% -20.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Army (19-7) 64 62 -4.0 64% -10.0 96%
Boston University (11-16) 52 58 +4.0 36% +10.0 4%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Kent State (16-11) 70 69 +1.0 46% -10.0 95%
Bowling Green (5-19) 60 70 -1.0 54% +10.0 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Ohio (18-8) 54 60 +6.0 30% +3.0 29%
Buffalo (19-7) 65 66 -6.0 70% -3.0 71%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Northern Illinois (18-8) 86 85 +12.0 16% +10.5 4%
Central Michigan (21-6) 109 97 -12.0 84% -10.5 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Lehigh (8-18) 70 67 +9.0 22% +3.5 24%
Colgate (10-17) 75 76 -9.0 78% -3.5 76%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
New Mexico (14-12) 55 52 +13.0 14% +13.5 2%
Colorado State (19-6) 58 65 -13.0 86% -13.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Temple (21-6) 45 54 +31.0 1% +17.0 1%
Connecticut (27-0) 90 85 -31.0 99% -17.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Saint Louis (22-7) 62 65 +3.0 39% +0.5 47%
Dayton (19-9) 68 68 -3.0 61% -0.5 53%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Cincinnati (15-11) 69 64 +1.0 46% -4.0 78%
East Carolina (10-17) 80 65 -1.0 54% +4.0 22%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
San Diego State (7-17) 50 55 +17.0 9% +12.0 2%
Fresno State (13-12) 59 72 -17.0 91% -12.0 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
McNeese State (8-14) 68 73 -11.0 82% -7.5 92%
Houston Baptist (4-19) 72 62 +11.0 18% +7.5 8%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Nicholls State (8-18) 63 67 +5.0 33% +0.5 45%
Incarnate Word (7-18) 69 72 -5.0 67% -0.5 55%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Iowa (16-12) 77 71 +10.0 20% +6.5 12%
Indiana (19-9) 80 81 -10.0 80% -6.5 88%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Saint Peter's (3-25) 50 44 +24.0 4% +29.5 0%
Iona (17-11) 51 68 -24.0 96% -29.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
South Dakota (20-6) 42 59 +8.0 24% +0.5 43%
IUPUI (19-7) 63 67 -8.0 76% -0.5 57%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Eastern Kentucky (8-19) 61 55 +14.0 12% +6.0 13%
Jacksonville State (12-14) 71 69 -14.0 88% -6.0 87%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Fordham (20-10) 66 55 +4.0 36% -2.5 70%
La Salle (16-12) 61 59 -4.0 64% +2.5 30%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Bucknell (22-5) 79 68 -16.0 90% -30.0 100%
Lafayette (2-26) 65 52 +16.0 10% +30.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Holy Cross (8-19) 59 52 +12.0 16% +5.5 15%
Loyola-Maryland (9-18) 58 64 -12.0 84% -5.5 85%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
SMU (15-12) 60 52 +4.0 36% +4.5 20%
Memphis (13-14) 39 56 -4.0 64% -4.5 80%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Penn State (18-9) 64 67 +10.0 20% +6.0 14%
Michigan State (19-9) 73 77 -10.0 80% -6.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Southeast Missouri State (11-15) 80 74 +6.0 30% +6.0 14%
Murray State (13-13) 67 80 -6.0 70% -6.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
North Dakota State (4-22) 64 59 +21.0 5% +17.5 0%
Nebraska-Omaha (12-14) 90 80 -21.0 95% -17.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Texas Tech (12-15) 62 62 +8.0 24% +8.5 7%
Oklahoma State (15-12) 75 70 -8.0 76% -8.5 93%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Massachusetts (8-20) 50 58 +4.0 36% +0.5 46%
Rhode Island (6-22) 53 62 -4.0 64% -0.5 54%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
George Washington (20-8) 63 58 -4.0 64% -11.0 96%
Richmond (13-16) 44 54 +4.0 36% +11.0 4%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Central Arkansas (18-4) 78 78 -22.0 95% -27.0 100%
Southeastern Louisiana (4-22) 64 56 +22.0 5% +27.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Eastern Michigan (5-21) 57 53 +25.0 3% +23.0 0%
Toledo (17-8) 65 78 -25.0 97% -23.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UCF (18-9) 56 57 +4.0 36% +8.5 7%
Tulane (16-12) 51 61 -4.0 64% -8.5 93%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Cal Poly (10-16) 75 58 +17.0 9% +19.0 0%
UC Davis (19-6) 83 75 -17.0 91% -19.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Air Force (3-22) 38 42 +26.0 3% +30.5 0%
UNLV (18-8) 52 68 -26.0 97% -30.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
San Jose State (9-17) 78 63 +14.0 12% +6.0 14%
Utah State (14-12) 82 77 -14.0 88% -6.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
TCU (12-15) 73 63 +17.0 9% +12.5 2%
West Virginia (19-9) 77 80 -17.0 91% -12.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
IPFW (4-22) 51 54 +32.0 1% +30.0 0%
Western Illinois (20-6) 77 86 -32.0 99% -30.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Ball State (18-8) 83 67 +2.0 42% -2.0 68%
Western Michigan (16-10) 72 69 -2.0 58% +2.0 32%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Illinois (8-20) 55 61 +5.0 33% +1.5 36%
Wisconsin (8-20) 59 66 -5.0 67% -1.5 64%

Today, February 22 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 78%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 78%
 
Overall Results (4518 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.