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Game Result Predictions for Today, January 18


The Resid Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
The ELO Prediction each team's margin of victory and probability of winning the game.

 
7:05 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Army (12-4) 0 64 -8.0 76% -14.0 99%
Holy Cross (4-13) 0 56 +8.0 24% +14.0 1%

11:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UCLA (13-4) 0 70 +1.0 46% -8.0 92%
USC (10-7) 0 71 -1.0 54% +8.0 8%

6:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Rhode Island (4-13) 0 55 +20.0 6% +14.5 1%
Virginia Commonwealth (9-10) 0 75 -20.0 94% -14.5 99%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Eastern Michigan (4-12) 0 55 +21.0 5% +16.0 1%
Ball State (10-6) 0 76 -21.0 95% -16.0 99%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Buffalo (12-4) 0 65 -6.0 70% -13.0 98%
Bowling Green (3-11) 0 59 +6.0 30% +13.0 2%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Miami (OH) (5-11) 0 59 +19.0 7% +23.5 0%
Central Michigan (13-4) 0 78 -19.0 93% -23.5 100%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Boston University (6-11) 0 61 +9.0 22% +3.0 29%
Colgate (5-12) 0 70 -9.0 78% -3.0 71%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
George Mason (10-9) 0 68 -6.0 70% -9.5 95%
Davidson (2-15) 0 62 +6.0 30% +9.5 5%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Saint Louis (14-4) 0 70 -8.0 76% -3.0 73%
Duquesne (9-10) 0 62 +8.0 24% +3.0 27%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UCF (11-6) 0 62 -4.0 64% +5.5 16%
East Carolina (9-8) 0 58 +4.0 36% -5.5 84%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Tennessee-Martin (4-14) 0 71 +10.0 20% -6.5 88%
Eastern Illinois (3-13) 0 81 -10.0 80% +6.5 12%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
American (7-10) 0 62 -10.0 80% -10.5 96%
Lafayette (1-17) 0 52 +10.0 20% +10.5 4%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Navy (11-5) 0 72 -6.0 70% -9.5 95%
Lehigh (4-12) 0 66 +6.0 30% +9.5 5%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Georgia Tech (13-4) 0 57 +18.0 8% +9.0 6%
Louisville (16-4) 0 75 -18.0 92% -9.0 94%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Bucknell (14-3) 0 60 -5.0 67% -11.0 97%
Loyola-Maryland (7-10) 0 55 +5.0 33% +11.0 3%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Canisius (4-13) 0 63 +6.0 30% +3.0 27%
Niagara (5-12) 0 69 -6.0 70% -3.0 73%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Abilene Christian (7-7) 0 71 -6.0 70% -9.5 95%
Nicholls State (5-11) 0 65 +6.0 30% +9.5 5%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Villanova (8-9) 0 46 +17.0 9% +7.5 9%
Pennsylvania (9-4) 0 63 -17.0 91% -7.5 91%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
La Salle (9-8) 0 54 +5.0 33% +6.5 11%
Richmond (9-9) 0 59 -5.0 67% -6.5 89%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Fordham (15-5) 0 57 +5.0 33% -8.0 92%
Saint Joseph's (6-11) 0 62 -5.0 67% +8.0 8%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Tennessee State (6-8) 0 61 +9.0 22% +0.5 52%
Tennessee Tech (5-12) 0 70 -9.0 78% -0.5 48%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Ohio (12-4) 0 59 +10.0 20% +2.5 31%
Toledo (11-4) 0 69 -10.0 80% -2.5 69%

7:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Kent State (8-9) 0 59 +16.0 10% +14.0 1%
Western Michigan (13-3) 0 75 -16.0 90% -14.0 99%

7:30 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Lamar (7-4) 0 75 -24.0 96% -10.0 96%
Sam Houston State (0-14) 0 51 +24.0 4% +10.0 4%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Iowa State (10-7) 0 57 +39.0 0% +24.0 0%
Baylor (17-1) 0 96 -39.0 100% -24.0 100%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
McNeese State (5-7) 0 57 +15.0 11% +9.5 5%
Central Arkansas (7-4) 0 72 -15.0 89% -9.5 95%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Temple (13-3) 0 71 -9.0 78% -15.5 99%
Houston (8-9) 0 62 +9.0 22% +15.5 1%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Belmont (13-5) 0 69 +1.0 46% -14.0 99%
Jacksonville State (7-9) 0 70 -1.0 54% +14.0 1%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
West Virginia (14-4) 0 77 -18.0 92% -13.5 98%
Kansas (6-11) 0 59 +18.0 8% +13.5 2%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
TCU (9-8) 0 59 +14.0 12% +13.0 2%
Kansas State (14-4) 0 73 -14.0 88% -13.0 98%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Illinois (8-10) 0 65 +14.0 12% +11.0 3%
Minnesota (10-8) 0 79 -14.0 88% -11.0 97%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Nebraska-Omaha (6-10) 0 71 -3.0 61% -6.0 87%
North Dakota State (3-13) 0 68 +3.0 39% +6.0 13%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Southeast Missouri State (6-10) 0 75 +2.0 42% +2.5 30%
SIU Edwardsville (4-13) 0 77 -2.0 58% -2.5 70%

8:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
IPFW (2-14) 0 49 +31.0 1% +32.5 0%
South Dakota (14-3) 0 80 -31.0 99% -32.5 100%

8:30 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
San Jose State (5-11) 0 56 +28.0 2% +13.0 2%
Wyoming (11-3) 0 84 -28.0 98% -13.0 98%

9:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Nevada (5-10) 0 68 -2.0 58% -2.5 69%
Air Force (2-13) 0 66 +2.0 42% +2.5 31%

9:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Fresno State (8-7) 0 45 +18.0 8% +10.5 4%
Colorado State (10-5) 0 63 -18.0 92% -10.5 96%

9:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
South Dakota State (14-4) 0 71 -9.0 78% -26.0 100%
Denver (4-14) 0 62 +9.0 22% +26.0 0%

9:00 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Boise State (11-3) 0 64 +8.0 24% -3.0 74%
New Mexico (8-8) 0 72 -8.0 76% +3.0 26%

9:30 PM Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UNLV (11-5) 0 63 -5.0 67% -8.0 92%
San Diego State (5-9) 0 58 +5.0 33% +8.0 8%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Akron (6-9) 84 77 +17.0 9% +12.0 2%
Northern Illinois (12-5) 55 94 -17.0 91% -12.0 98%

Today, January 18 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 0%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 0%
 
Overall Results (2813 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 77%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.