NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
1
Day
3
Day
5
Day
7/8*
(5) Arkansas (0-2) 33.7% 9.0% --- ---
(8) Texas Tech (1-1) 34.6% 11.7% 19.3%
Florida State (1-1) 12.5% 30.4% 6.3%
Michigan (2-0) 19.2% 48.9% 74.3%

CWS Bracket 2
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
2
Day
4
Day
6
Day
7/8*
(2) Vanderbilt (1-0) 31.5% 48.3%
(6) Mississippi State (1-0) 40.6% 45.2%
(7) Louisville (0-1) 22.3% 6.2%
Auburn (0-1) 5.6% 0.3%

National Championship
Probability of winning the 2019 National Championship

Initial Updated
(2) Vanderbilt 18.2% 29.3%
(5) Arkansas 15.2% ---
(6) Mississippi State 23.0% 25.5%
(7) Louisville 12.5% 3.5%
(8) Texas Tech 15.6% 8.5%
Auburn 2.2% 0.1%
Florida State 5.1% 2.4%
Michigan 8.3% 30.6%