NCAA Tournament
Regionals Prediction
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

Gainesville, FL

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) Florida (3-1) 68.1% 69.7% 88.6% 54.0%
Jacksonville (1-2) 20.2% 27.8% 8.4% ---
FAU (3-2) 9.9% 2.4% 3.0% 46.0%
Columbia (0-2) 1.8% 0.1% --- ---

Stanford, CA

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Stanford (2-2) 68.9% 80.8% 40.3% ---
Baylor (1-2) 26.5% 7.9% 15.1% ---
CS Fullerton (3-0) 4.9% 11.2% 44.6%
Wright State (0-2) 4.7% 0.2% --- ---

Raleigh, NC

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
NC State (2-2) 47.1% 12.8% 25.2% ---
Auburn (3-0) 29.3% 55.4% 71.5%
Northeastern (0-2) 13.7% 4.1% --- ---
Army (1-2) 9.9% 27.8% 3.3% ---

Conway, SC

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Coastal Carolina (1-2) 68.2% 78.3% 40.4% ---
Connecticut (2-2) 12.9% 2.5% 8.0% ---
Washington (3-0) 10.6% 18.2% 51.6%
Long Island (0-2) 8.3% 0.9% --- ---

Lubbock, TX

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Texas Tech (3-0) 37.9% 56.1% 83.3%
Lousiville (2-2) 31.2% 36.7% 11.9% ---
New Mexico State (0-2) 19.0% 5.4% --- ---
Kent State (1-2) 11.9% 1.8% 4.8% ---

Clemson, SC

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Clemson (2-2) 54.6% 66.4% 25.3% ---
Vanderbilt (3-0) 21.4% 27.8% 67.1%
Saint John's (1-2) 21.1% 4.2% 7.6% ---
Morehead State (0-2) 11.9% 1.6% --- ---

Athens, GA

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) Georgia (2-2) 45.6% 57.5% 80.4% 54.0%
Duke (4-1) 26.7% 7.9% 11.9% 46.0%
Troy (1-2) 20.0% 33.3% 7.7% ---
Campbell (0-2) 7.7% 1.2% --- ---

Tallahassee, FL

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Florida State (0-2) 56.0% 18.0% --- ---
Mississippi State (4-1) 21.7% 6.8% 21.7% 54.0%
Oklahoma (2-2) 11.7% 41.1% 70.7% 46.0%
Samford (1-2) 10.6% 34.0% 7.6% ---

Fayetteville, AR

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) Arkansas (3-0) 48.3% 58.3% 82.7%
Southern Miss (1-2) 32.0%& 38.2% 13.2% ---
Dallas Baptist (2-2) 10.4% 1.8% 4.1% ---
Oral Roberts (0-2) 9.3% 1.6% --- ---

Chapel Hill, NC

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) North Carolina (3-0) 72.0% 76.4% 91.4%
Purdue (1-2) 16.5% 5.1% 5.7% ---
Houston (2-2) 10.2% 18.3% 3.0% ---
NC A&T (0-2) 1.3% 0.2% --- ---

Greenville, NC

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
East Carolina (1-2) 55.0% 69.3% 32.2% ---
South Carolina (3-0) 21.9% 26.8% 63.2%
Ohio State (0-2) 11.7% 2.2% --- ---
UNCW (2-2) 11.4% 1.7% 4.6% ---

DeLand, FL

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Stetson (3-0) 58.0% 72.3% 83.1%
South Florida (1-2) 30.9% 10.2% 14.1% ---
Oklahoma State (2-2) 7.3% 17.1% 2.8% ---
Hartford (0-2) 3.8% 0.4% --- ---

Austin, TX

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Texas (3-0) 41.0% 55.6% 79.8%
Indiana (2-2) 20.2% 5.4% 9.2% ---
Texas A&M (1-2) 28.6% 37.2% 11.0% ---
Texas Southern (0-2) 10.2% 1.7% --- ---

Minneapolis, MN

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
Minnesota (3-0) 47.9% 61.2% 83.0%
UCLA (2-2) 32.2% 35.3% 13.1% ---
Gonzaga (1-2) 10.4% 1.4% 4.0% ---
Canisius (0-2) 9.5% 2.2% --- ---

Oxford, MS

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) Ole Miss (2-2) 53.1% 58.9% 85.1% 42.0%
Tenn Tech (4-1) 29.8% 37.9% 11.3% 58.0%
Missouri State (1-2) 9.1% 2.2% 3.6% ---
Saint Louis (0-2) 8.0% 1.1% --- ---

Corvallis, OR

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Oregon State (3-0) 66.2% 77.1% 92.2%
LSU (2-2) 16.4% 20.6% 5.6% ---
San Diego State (0-2) 9.2% 1.5% --- ---
Northwestern State (1-2) 8.2% 0.8% 2.2% ---