Game Result Predictions
Today, November 18

The Resid Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

The ELO Prediction calculates each team's margin of victory and probability of winning the game.
Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
New Hampshire (7-4) 0 16 +1.0 46% 33 -33.0 99%
Albany (4-7) 15 17 -1.0 54% 0 +33.0 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Abilene Christian (2-9) 0 8 +32.0 1% 0 +64.5 0%
Central Arkansas (10-1) 34 40 -32.0 99% 65 -64.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Portland State (0-11) 33 23 +26.0 3% 7 +58.0 0%
Eastern Washington (7-4) 59 49 -26.0 97% 65 -58.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
James Madison (11-0) 31 33 -23.0 96% 37 -31.0 99%
Elon (8-3) 3 10 +23.0 4% 6 +31.0 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Dakota State (10-1) 20 27 -13.0 86% 31 -22.5 96%
Illinois State (6-5) 7 14 +13.0 14% 9 +22.5 4%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Monmouth (9-2) 21 23 +10.0 20% 25 +6.0 30%
Kennesaw State (9-1) 52 33 -10.0 80% 31 -6.0 70%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
McNeese State (8-2) 13 37 -25.0 97% 49 -48.5 100%
Lamar (1-9) 3 12 +25.0 3% 0 +48.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Stony Brook (9-2) 20 26 -3.0 61% 32 -15.5 90%
Maine (4-6) 19 23 +3.0 39% 16 +15.5 10%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina Central (6-4) 10 10 +23.0 4% 10 +23.0 4%
North Carolina A&T (10-0) 24 33 -23.0 96% 33 -23.0 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Indiana State (0-11) 3 9 +38.0 0% 3 +47.5 0%
Northern Iowa (7-4) 41 47 -38.0 100% 51 -47.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Houston Baptist (1-10) 33 11 +35.0 0% 0 +72.0 0%
Sam Houston State (10-1) 53 46 -35.0 100% 72 -72.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Furman (7-4) 20 29 +1.0 46% 27 +3.5 37%
Samford (7-3) 26 30 -1.0 54% 31 -3.5 63%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wofford (9-2) 10 18 +5.0 33% 11 +17.5 8%
South Carolina (8-3) 31 23 -5.0 67% 29 -17.5 92%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
South Dakota State (9-2) 31 32 +2.0 42% 41 -15.0 89%
South Dakota (7-4) 28 34 -2.0 58% 26 +15.0 11%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Northern Arizona (7-4) 20 29 +5.0 33% 26 +10.0 19%
Southern Utah (9-2) 48 34 -5.0 67% 36 -10.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Idaho State (3-7) 7 14 +29.0 2% 7 +42.5 0%
Weber State (8-2) 35 43 -29.0 98% 49 -42.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Illinois (4-7) 14 19 +18.0 8% 13 +29.5 2%
Western Illinois (8-3) 28 37 -18.0 92% 43 -29.5 98%

Today, November 18 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 94%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 94%
 
Overall Results (700 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.