Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Jordan-Hare Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Southern Miss (6-5) | 13 | 15 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 3 | +34.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Auburn (8-5) | 24 | 27 | -12.0 | 84% | 37 | -34.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Old Dominion (4-8) | 35 | 33 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 32 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| East Carolina (3-9) | 37 | 32 | +1.0 | 46% | 32 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| FIU Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-8) | 9 | 18 | +34.0 | 0% | ✔ | 3 | +63.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| FIU (9-4) | 55 | 52 | -34.0 | 100% | 67 | -63.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Floyd Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| FAU (5-7) | 24 | 27 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | 27 | +6.0 | 29% | ✔ | |
| Middle Tennessee (8-6) | 25 | 33 | -6.0 | 70% | 33 | -6.0 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Apogee Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana Tech (8-5) | 29 | 19 | +12.0 | 16% | ✘ | 23 | +4.5 | 34% | ✘ | |
| North Texas (9-4) | 27 | 31 | -12.0 | 84% | 27 | -4.5 | 66% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Legion Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Charlotte (5-7) | 7 | 11 | +19.0 | 7% | ✔ | 3 | +32.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| UAB (11-3) | 28 | 30 | -19.0 | 93% | 35 | -32.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Alamodome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| UTEP (1-11) | 21 | 19 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 12 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | |
| UTSA (3-9) | 30 | 23 | -4.0 | 64% | 30 | -18.0 | 92% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| BB&T Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Rice (2-11) | 24 | 20 | +22.0 | 5% | ✔ | 7 | +48.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Wake Forest (7-6) | 56 | 42 | -22.0 | 95% | 55 | -48.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| L.T. Smith Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Marshall (9-4) | 20 | 26 | -10.0 | 80% | ✔ | 33 | -24.5 | 97% | ✔ | |
| Western Kentucky (3-9) | 17 | 16 | +10.0 | 20% | 9 | +24.5 | 3% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 78%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 89%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 78%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 89%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.