Game Result Predictions
Sunday, February 23

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Silvio Conte Forum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Miami (FL) (15-15, Road 2-8)	64	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	24%	✔
	Boston College (20-12, Home 10-4)	75	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		12	-12	76%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hinkle Fieldhouse			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Providence (13-19, Road 5-11)	42	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	20%	✔
	Butler (19-11, Home 13-4)	51	0	+0	50%	Actual: 93 (93)		16	-16	80%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Haas Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Oregon State (23-9, Road 5-5)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	12	-12	71%	✔
	California (12-19, Home 7-10)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 139 (139)		0	+12	29%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Fifth Third Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Tulane (14-17, Road 5-5)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	14%	✔
	Cincinnati (22-10, Home 14-3)	87	0	+0	50%	Actual: 150 (150)		20	-20	86%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Wolstein Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Detroit (3-27, Road 1-13)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+24	10%	✔
	Cleveland State (19-11, Home 8-3)	68	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		24	-24	90%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
CU Events Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Arizona (24-7, Road 10-3)	38	0	+0	50%	0	✘	14	-14	77%	✘
	Colorado (16-14, Home 9-6)	50	0	+0	50%	Actual: 88 (88)		0	+14	23%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bob Carpenter Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	William & Mary (22-9, Road 11-4)	78	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	64%	✔
	Delaware (12-18, Home 6-7)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 138 (138)		0	+8	36%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hamilton Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Oral Roberts (13-16, Road 3-12)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	47%	✔
	Denver (14-15, Home 10-5)	91	0	+0	50%	Actual: 170 (170)		2	-2	53%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Daskalakis Athletic Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Elon (13-17, Road 6-8)	47	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+22	13%	✔
	Drexel (24-8, Home 14-1)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 113 (113)		22	-22	87%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Rothman Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Robert Morris (24-7, Road 11-4)	48	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	81%	✔
	Fairleigh Dickinson (13-18, Home 7-8)	35	0	+0	50%	Actual: 83 (83)		0	+16	19%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Exactech Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Arkansas (24-8, Road 5-4)	80	0	+0	50%	0	✘	12	-12	76%	✘
	Florida (15-15, Home 9-7)	83	0	+0	50%	Actual: 163 (163)		0	+12	24%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
McDonough Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Marquette (24-8, Road 8-5)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	28	-28	92%	✔
	Georgetown (5-25, Home 1-11)	56	0	+0	50%	Actual: 132 (132)		0	+28	8%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
McCamish Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Florida State (24-8, Road 8-4)	62	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	57%	✘
	Georgia Tech (20-11, Home 10-4)	65	0	+0	50%	Actual: 127 (127)		0	+4	43%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Mack Sports Complex			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	James Madison (28-4, Road 11-3)	89	0	+0	50%	0	✘	42	-42	97%	✔
	Hofstra (3-27, Home 2-12)	52	0	+0	50%	Actual: 141 (141)		0	+42	3%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hilton Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Texas Tech (19-12, Road 4-6)	77	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	25%	✘
	Iowa State (19-12, Home 12-5)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 151 (151)		12	-12	75%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
IUPUI Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Green Bay (19-13, Road 8-5)	61	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	33%	✘
	IUPUI (22-8, Home 11-1)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 119 (119)		8	-8	67%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Carolina (32-1, Road 12-0)	67	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	81%	✔
	Kentucky (22-8, Home 14-3)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 125 (125)		0	+16	19%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pete Maravich Assembly Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Georgia (17-14, Road 4-5)	73	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	40%	✘
	LSU (20-10, Home 12-2)	56	0	+0	50%	Actual: 129 (129)		4	-4	60%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cross Insurance Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Stony Brook (28-3, Road 11-3)	62	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	60%	✘
	Maine (17-15, Home 11-4)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		0	+4	40%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Breslin Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Michigan (21-11, Road 6-5)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	56%	✔
	Michigan State (16-14, Home 11-3)	57	0	+0	50%	Actual: 122 (122)		0	+4	44%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Humphrey Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Alabama (18-12, Road 7-4)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+18	18%	✘
	Mississippi State (27-6, Home 12-2)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		18	-18	82%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Mizzou Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Ole Miss (7-23, Road 0-10)	67	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+18	18%	✔
	Missouri (9-22, Home 5-10)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 149 (149)		18	-18	82%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
JQH Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Indiana State (5-26, Road 3-13)	58	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+42	3%	✔
	Missouri State (26-5, Home 14-0)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 140 (140)		42	-42	97%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Knott Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Merrimack (18-9, Road 8-6)	53	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	43%	✔
	Mount Saint Mary's (20-12, Home 10-4)	62	0	+0	50%	Actual: 115 (115)		4	-4	57%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	North Dakota State (9-19, Road 4-9)	82	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	46%	✘
	North Dakota (13-15, Home 5-6)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 156 (156)		2	-2	54%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Solomon Court			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Towson (15-16, Road 3-9)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	2	-2	55%	✘
	Northeastern (13-17, Home 8-6)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 129 (129)		0	+2	45%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Purcell Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Syracuse (16-15, Road 3-7)	70	0	+0	50%	0	✘	-0	+0	49%	✘
	Notre Dame (13-18, Home 6-9)	72	0	+0	50%	Actual: 142 (142)		0	+0	51%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Petersen Events Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Louisville (28-4, Road 11-2)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	36	-36	95%	✔
	Pittsburgh (5-26, Home 3-12)	47	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		0	+36	5%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Alumni Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Iona (9-21, Road 6-8)	41	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+34	5%	✔
	Rider (28-4, Home 12-1)	53	0	+0	50%	Actual: 94 (94)		34	-34	95%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
William H. Pitt Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Bryant (10-20, Road 5-11)	48	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	29%	✔
	Sacred Heart (12-18, Home 7-4)	52	0	+0	50%	Actual: 100 (100)		12	-12	71%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reilly Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Richmond (15-17, Road 8-9)	72	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	66%	✔
	Saint Bonaventure (7-23, Home 6-9)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		0	+8	34%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pope Physical Education Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wagner (9-20, Road 2-14)	74	0	+0	50%	0	✘	-0	+0	47%	✘
	Saint Francis (NY) (7-21, Home 5-7)	53	0	+0	50%	Actual: 127 (127)		0	+0	53%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
DeGol Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Long Island (8-22, Road 2-12)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	31%	✘
	Saint Francis (PA) (11-19, Home 5-8)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 135 (135)		8	-8	69%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Banterra Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Evansville (2-27, Road 0-15)	60	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+28	8%	✔
	Southern Illinois (17-14, Home 9-5)	99	0	+0	50%	Actual: 159 (159)		28	-28	92%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Oklahoma State (15-16, Road 4-7)	37	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	15%	✔
	TCU (24-8, Home 13-3)	49	0	+0	50%	Actual: 86 (86)		20	-20	85%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Thompson-Boling Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Vanderbilt (14-16, Road 3-7)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+18	17%	✔
	Tennessee (21-10, Home 13-3)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		18	-18	83%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reed Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Auburn (11-18, Road 2-9)	54	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	16%	✔
	Texas A&M (22-8, Home 14-2)	84	0	+0	50%	Actual: 138 (138)		20	-20	84%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Reynolds Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wichita State (16-15, Road 5-7)	70	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	59%	✔
	Tulsa (9-21, Home 7-7)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		0	+4	41%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Credit Union 1 Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Milwaukee (14-16, Road 4-11)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	20	-20	86%	✔
	UIC (3-27, Home 2-12)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		0	+20	14%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Trask Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Charleston (12-17, Road 5-10)	50	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	35%	✔
	UNCW (9-20, Home 5-8)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 124 (124)		8	-8	65%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Jon M. Huntsman Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Arizona State (20-11, Road 5-6)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	57%	✘
	Utah (14-17, Home 6-9)	75	0	+0	50%	Actual: 146 (146)		0	+4	43%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Finneran Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	DePaul (28-5, Road 11-3)	58	0	+0	50%	0	✘	12	-12	72%	✘
	Villanova (18-13, Home 9-5)	76	0	+0	50%	Actual: 134 (134)		0	+12	28%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cassell Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Virginia (13-17, Road 4-10)	86	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+10	29%	✘
	Virginia Tech (21-9, Home 13-2)	76	0	+0	50%	Actual: 162 (162)		10	-10	71%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Lawrence Joel Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	North Carolina (16-14, Road 2-8)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	34%	✔
	Wake Forest (16-16, Home 9-6)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 161 (161)		8	-8	66%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Alaska Airlines Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	UCLA (26-5, Road 10-3)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	20	-20	84%	✘
	Washington (13-17, Home 7-9)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 142 (142)		0	+20	16%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Friel Court			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	USC (17-14, Road 4-8)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	69%	✔
	Washington State (11-20, Home 7-8)	60	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		0	+8	31%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cintas Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Creighton (19-11, Road 7-7)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	22	-22	87%	✔
	Xavier (3-27, Home 2-12)	62	0	+0	50%	Actual: 138 (138)		0	+22	13%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Beeghly Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Oakland (9-19, Road 4-12)	86	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+6	38%	✘
	Youngstown State (11-17, Home 7-6)	73	0	+0	50%	Actual: 159 (159)		6	-6	62%