Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 21
Thursday, February 21
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Assembly Hall | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Iowa (29-7, Road 7-5) |
73 | 75 | -4.0 | 64% | 146 | ✘ | 80 | -14.5 | 99% | ✘ | |
|
Indiana (21-13, Home 11-4) |
75 | 71 | +4.0 | 36% | Actual: 148 (2) |
65 | +14.5 | 1% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| XFINITY Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Minnesota (21-11, Road 6-6) |
69 | 62 | +10.0 | 20% | 134 | ✔ | 58 | +17.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Maryland (29-5, Home 15-2) |
71 | 72 | -10.0 | 80% | Actual: 140 (6) |
75 | -17.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Reynolds Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Wake Forest (10-20, Road 2-9) |
46 | 50 | +22.0 | 5% | 122 | ✔ | 42 | +36.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
North Carolina State (28-6, Home 17-2) |
80 | 72 | -22.0 | 95% | Actual: 126 (4) |
79 | -36.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Purcell Pavilion | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Duke (15-15, Road 4-8) |
61 | 58 | +28.0 | 2% | 144 | ✔ | 55 | +33.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Notre Dame (35-4, Home 16-1) |
89 | 86 | -28.0 | 98% | Actual: 150 (6) |
88 | -33.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| The Pavilion at Ole Miss | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Mississippi State (33-3, Road 13-1) |
80 | 84 | -31.0 | 99% | 137 | ✔ | 87 | -39.0 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Ole Miss (9-22, Home 8-10) |
66 | 53 | +31.0 | 1% | Actual: 146 (9) |
48 | +39.0 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Leavey Center | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Gonzaga (29-5, Road 11-2) |
74 | 71 | -15.0 | 89% | 127 | ✔ | 73 | -21.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Santa Clara (13-17, Home 5-9) |
61 | 56 | +15.0 | 11% | Actual: 135 (8) |
52 | +21.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Colonial Life Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Kentucky (25-8, Road 6-4) |
65 | 69 | +2.0 | 42% | 140 | ✘ | 67 | +6.0 | 10% | ✘ | |
|
South Carolina (23-10, Home 11-4) |
57 | 71 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 122 (-18) |
73 | -6.0 | 90% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Carrier Dome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Pittsburgh (11-20, Road 3-8) |
63 | 56 | +23.0 | 4% | 135 | ✔ | 52 | +28.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
|
Syracuse (25-9, Home 12-4) |
90 | 79 | -23.0 | 96% | Actual: 153 (18) |
81 | -28.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Reed Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee (19-13, Road 6-4) |
62 | 66 | +8.0 | 24% | 140 | ✔ | 62 | +15.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
|
Texas A&M (26-8, Home 14-3) |
79 | 74 | -8.0 | 76% | Actual: 141 (1) |
77 | -15.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| John Paul Jones Arena | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Louisville (32-4, Road 11-1) |
71 | 74 | -21.0 | 95% | 127 | ✔ | 75 | -25.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
|
Virginia (12-19, Home 8-8) |
49 | 53 | +21.0 | 5% | Actual: 120 (-7) |
50 | +25.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cassell Coliseum | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Miami (FL) (25-9, Road 6-5) |
65 | 68 | +3.0 | 39% | 139 | ✔ | 71 | -5.5 | 88% | ✘ | |
|
Virginia Tech (22-12, Home 13-5) |
73 | 71 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 138 (-1) |
66 | +5.5 | 12% | |||