Game Result Predictions
Sunday, February 17

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wells Fargo Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah
(20-10, Road 5-6)
58 62 +4.0 36% 128 55 +18.0 0%
Arizona State
(22-11, Home 11-4)
60 66 -4.0 64% Actual:
118 (-10)
73 -18.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Exactech Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina
(23-10, Road 9-2)
96 77 -15.0 89% 139 80 -22.0 100%
Florida
(8-23, Home 6-9)
77 62 +15.0 11% Actual:
173 (34)
58 +22.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Road 3-8)
46 50 +20.0 6% 120 47 +25.5 0%
Florida State
(24-9, Home 12-4)
78 70 -20.0 94% Actual:
124 (4)
72 -25.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carver-Hawkeye Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Maryland
(29-5, Road 10-2)
73 73 +3.0 39% 149 70 +8.0 6%
Iowa
(29-7, Home 16-0)
86 76 -3.0 61% Actual:
159 (10)
78 -8.0 94%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arkansas
(22-15, Road 6-6)
59 65 +12.0 16% 142 64 +13.0 1%
Kentucky
(25-8, Home 15-3)
61 77 -12.0 84% Actual:
120 (-22)
77 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Road 6-5)
79 63 +13.0 14% 139 60 +17.5 0%
Louisville
(32-4, Home 15-1)
73 76 -13.0 86% Actual:
152 (13)
77 -17.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Madison Square Garden Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
DePaul
(26-8, Road 10-2)
70 76 -3.0 61% 149 81 -14.0 99%
Saint John's
(15-16, Home 5-7)
62 73 +3.0 39% Actual:
132 (-17)
67 +14.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Walsh Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marquette
(27-8, Road 9-6)
109 86 -15.0 89% 157 87 -19.0 100%
Seton Hall
(15-16, Home 11-4)
63 71 +15.0 11% Actual:
172 (15)
68 +19.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carrier Dome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wake Forest
(10-20, Road 2-9)
57 56 +22.0 5% 134 51 +32.0 0%
Syracuse
(25-9, Home 12-4)
77 78 -22.0 95% Actual:
134 (0)
83 -32.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Frank Erwin Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas State
(21-12, Road 7-3)
69 57 +12.0 16% 126 61 +3.0 26%
Texas
(23-10, Home 10-6)
60 69 -12.0 84% Actual:
129 (3)
64 -3.0 74%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Mississippi State
(33-3, Road 13-1)
92 77 -13.0 86% 141 73 -6.5 91%
Texas A&M
(26-8, Home 14-3)
64 64 +13.0 14% Actual:
156 (15)
66 +6.5 9%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CFE Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Connecticut
(35-3, Road 12-2)
78 72 -18.0 92% 126 71 -16.0 100%
UCF
(26-7, Home 11-1)
41 54 +18.0 8% Actual:
119 (-7)
55 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pauley Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
California
(20-13, Road 7-7)
74 71 +7.0 27% 149 68 +11.0 2%
UCLA
(22-13, Home 11-5)
80 78 -7.0 73% Actual:
154 (5)
79 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Galen Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Stanford
(31-5, Road 10-3)
69 72 -7.0 73% 137 78 -20.0 100%
USC
(17-13, Home 10-4)
67 65 +7.0 27% Actual:
136 (-1)
58 +20.0 0%