Game Result Predictions
Today,%20January%2013
Today,%20January%2013
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (8-18) | 55 | 62 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 61 | +7.5 | 7% | ✔ | |
| New Orleans (13-17) | 61 | 69 | -7.0 | 73% | 68 | -7.5 | 93% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Central Arkansas (17-17) | 79 | 81 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 81 | +8.0 | 6% | ✔ | |
| Nicholls State (17-11) | 86 | 89 | -8.0 | 76% | 89 | -8.0 | 94% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Abilene Christian (12-16) | 69 | 75 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 73 | -8.0 | 94% | ✔ | |
| Northwestern State (2-23) | 58 | 64 | +11.0 | 18% | 65 | +8.0 | 6% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Houston Baptist (3-25) | 68 | 70 | +14.0 | 12% | ✔ | 63 | +27.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Sam Houston State (17-15) | 81 | 84 | -14.0 | 88% | 90 | -27.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| McNeese State (8-17) | 71 | 68 | +8.0 | 24% | ✘ | 62 | +20.0 | 0% | ✘ | |
| Southeastern Louisiana (19-12) | 62 | 76 | -8.0 | 76% | 82 | -20.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Incarnate Word (3-21) | 63 | 63 | +23.0 | 4% | ✔ | 56 | +34.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Stephen F. Austin (24-7) | 83 | 86 | -23.0 | 96% | 91 | -34.5 | 100% | |||
Today,%20January%2013 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.