Game Result Predictions
Today,%20January%2013
Today,%20January%2013
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| VMI (7-21) | 48 | 54 | +23.0 | 4% | ✔ | 49 | +30.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| East Tennessee State (23-9) | 89 | 77 | -23.0 | 96% | 80 | -30.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Samford (8-22) | 50 | 73 | +14.0 | 12% | ✔ | 70 | +19.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Mercer (17-15) | 81 | 87 | -14.0 | 88% | 89 | -19.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Chattanooga (8-23) | 101 | 82 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 80 | +4.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
| The Citadel (8-21) | 110 | 84 | -2.0 | 58% | 85 | -4.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UNCG (24-8) | 66 | 73 | -13.0 | 86% | ✔ | 74 | -17.5 | 100% | ✔ | |
| Western Carolina (11-19) | 55 | 60 | +13.0 | 14% | 57 | +17.5 | 0% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Furman (21-10) | 70 | 74 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 74 | -2.0 | 69% | ✘ | |
| Wofford (18-13) | 79 | 72 | +2.0 | 42% | 72 | +2.0 | 31% | |||
Today,%20January%2013 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.