Game Result Predictions
Today,%20January%2013

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri (19-13) 63 72 +5.0 33% 70 +8.0 6%
Arkansas (23-12) 65 77 -5.0 67% 78 -8.0 94%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina (16-16) 64 62 +4.0 36% 61 +6.0 10%
Georgia (18-15) 57 66 -4.0 64% 67 -6.0 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama (20-16) 74 72 +4.0 36% 75 -3.0 75%
LSU (18-15) 66 76 -4.0 64% 72 +3.0 25%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Auburn (26-8) 76 74 +1.0 46% 72 +3.5 22%
Mississippi State (24-12) 68 75 -1.0 54% 75 -3.5 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida (21-13) 72 79 -5.0 67% 82 -13.0 99%
Ole Miss (12-20) 78 74 +5.0 33% 69 +13.0 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M (22-13) 62 65 +7.0 27% 65 +5.5 12%
Tennessee (26-9) 75 72 -7.0 73% 70 -5.5 88%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kentucky (26-11) 74 76 -5.0 67% 80 -14.0 99%
Vanderbilt (12-20) 67 71 +5.0 33% 66 +14.0 1%


Today,%20January%2013 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 43%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 57%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.