Game Result Predictions
Today,%20January%2013
Today,%20January%2013
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Bryant (3-28) | 76 | 67 | +13.0 | 14% | ✔ | 65 | +15.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Central Connecticut (14-18) | 80 | 80 | -13.0 | 86% | 80 | -15.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Robert Morris (16-17) | 81 | 70 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 68 | +5.5 | 13% | ✘ | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson (11-18) | 75 | 73 | -3.0 | 61% | 73 | -5.5 | 87% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Wagner (21-10) | 67 | 75 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 73 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
| Long Island (17-17) | 69 | 74 | +1.0 | 46% | 74 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Sacred Heart (9-21) | 92 | 69 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 67 | +7.0 | 7% | ✘ | |
| Saint Francis (NY) (11-18) | 52 | 74 | -5.0 | 67% | 74 | -7.0 | 93% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Mount Saint Mary's (16-14) | 81 | 72 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 74 | +2.0 | 32% | ✘ | |
| Saint Francis (PA) (16-13) | 80 | 78 | -6.0 | 70% | 76 | -2.0 | 68% | |||
Today,%20January%2013 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 20%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 20%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.