Game Result Predictions
Today,%20January%2013
Today,%20January%2013
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Bowling Green (14-16) | 78 | 74 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 71 | +7.5 | 6% | ✔ | |
| Akron (13-18) | 80 | 77 | -3.0 | 61% | 78 | -7.5 | 94% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Miami (OH) (14-18) | 66 | 71 | +13.0 | 14% | ✔ | 64 | +26.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Buffalo (26-9) | 82 | 84 | -13.0 | 86% | 90 | -26.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Toledo (22-11) | 93 | 78 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 80 | -3.5 | 78% | ✔ | |
| Central Michigan (18-15) | 82 | 80 | -2.0 | 58% | 77 | +3.5 | 22% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Eastern Michigan (18-13) | 66 | 70 | -4.0 | 64% | ✘ | 72 | -9.5 | 96% | ✘ | |
| Northern Illinois (11-19) | 72 | 66 | +4.0 | 36% | 63 | +9.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Ball State (18-13) | 58 | 73 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 73 | +0.5 | 44% | ✔ | |
| Western Michigan (15-15) | 73 | 76 | -3.0 | 61% | 74 | -0.5 | 56% | |||
Today,%20January%2013 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.