Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon (12-6) 83 75 +7.0 27% 71 +15.0 1%
Arizona (14-4) 90 82 -7.0 73% 86 -15.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon State (10-7) 75 71 +13.0 14% 69 +16.0 0%
Arizona State (14-3) 77 84 -13.0 86% 85 -16.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (FL) (13-4) 63 62 +6.0 30% 63 +4.5 15%
Clemson (15-2) 72 68 -6.0 70% 67 -4.5 85%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wake Forest (8-9) 71 74 +21.0 5% 70 +27.5 0%
Duke (16-2) 89 95 -21.0 95% 98 -27.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas State (12-5) 72 68 +11.0 18% 63 +21.0 0%
Kansas (15-3) 73 79 -11.0 82% 84 -21.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan (15-4) 82 63 +11.0 18% 65 +6.5 8%
Michigan State (16-3) 72 74 -11.0 82% 71 -6.5 92%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Purdue (17-2) 81 82 -11.0 82% 80 -8.0 94%
Minnesota (14-6) 47 71 +11.0 18% 72 +8.0 6%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Auburn (16-1) 76 75 -1.0 54% 78 -8.0 95%
Mississippi State (12-4) 68 74 +1.0 46% 70 +8.0 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina (14-4) 69 73 +3.0 39% 75 -2.0 68%
Notre Dame (12-5) 68 76 -3.0 61% 73 +2.0 32%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
TCU (13-4) 97 91 +6.0 30% 88 +11.5 2%
Oklahoma (14-2) 102 97 -6.0 70% 100 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Villanova (16-1) 78 81 -10.0 80% 88 -24.0 100%
Saint John's (9-8) 71 71 +10.0 20% 64 +24.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Gonzaga (16-3) 75 80 -14.0 88% 82 -18.5 100%
San Francisco (9-9) 65 66 +14.0 12% 64 +18.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgetown (12-5) 61 71 +9.0 22% 64 +22.0 0%
Seton Hall (15-3) 74 80 -9.0 78% 86 -22.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Cincinnati (15-2) 78 73 -23.0 96% 78 -34.5 100%
South Florida (7-11) 55 50 +23.0 4% 44 +34.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M (11-6) 62 69 +6.0 30% 70 +5.0 14%
Tennessee (12-4) 75 75 -6.0 70% 75 -5.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
West Virginia (15-3) 71 67 +6.0 30% 70 +0.5 43%
Texas Tech (15-2) 72 73 -6.0 70% 70 -0.5 57%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wichita State (15-2) 72 82 -11.0 82% 86 -19.5 100%
Tulsa (10-8) 69 71 +11.0 18% 66 +19.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kentucky (14-3) 74 74 -5.0 67% 80 -17.0 100%
Vanderbilt (6-11) 67 69 +5.0 33% 63 +17.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Creighton (14-4) 70 83 +3.0 39% 80 +8.0 5%
Xavier (16-3) 92 86 -3.0 61% 88 -8.0 95%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 89%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 95%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.