Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Southern (12-5) 60 76 -3.0 61% 79 -9.0 96%
Appalachian State (6-11) 59 73 +3.0 39% 70 +9.0 4%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UTA (11-7) 97 81 -7.0 73% 83 -12.5 99%
Arkansas State (4-13) 71 74 +7.0 27% 71 +12.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia State (11-6) 72 68 +1.0 46% 72 -8.5 95%
Coastal Carolina (4-12) 58 69 -1.0 54% 64 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas State (10-7) 72 60 -2.0 58% 63 -8.5 95%
Little Rock (4-13) 70 58 +2.0 42% 55 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
ULM (4-9) 48 63 +19.0 7% 60 +24.5 0%
Louisiana (13-3) 82 82 -19.0 93% 84 -24.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Troy (6-10) 79 69 +2.0 42% 71 -2.0 69%
South Alabama (7-9) 64 71 -2.0 58% 69 +2.0 31%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.