Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (1-11) 55 59 +11.0 18% 58 +11.5 2%
New Orleans (5-9) 61 70 -11.0 82% 70 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Central Arkansas (8-10) 79 86 +7.0 27% 86 +5.5 12%
Nicholls State (7-8) 86 93 -7.0 73% 92 -5.5 88%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Abilene Christian (8-7) 69 79 -14.0 88% 76 -8.5 95%
Northwestern State (1-11) 58 65 +14.0 12% 68 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Houston Baptist (1-14) 68 66 +13.0 14% 64 +15.5 0%
Sam Houston State (6-8) 81 79 -13.0 86% 80 -15.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
McNeese State (3-10) 71 68 +5.0 33% 63 +14.5 1%
Southeastern Louisiana (7-8) 62 73 -5.0 67% 77 -14.5 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Incarnate Word (1-10) 63 65 +20.0 6% 62 +26.5 0%
Stephen F. Austin (11-3) 83 85 -20.0 94% 88 -26.5 100%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.