Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Belmont (13-6) 75 68 -5.0 67% 74 -17.0 100%
Eastern Illinois (4-11) 66 63 +5.0 33% 57 +17.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Austin Peay (8-8) 87 64 +8.0 24% 65 +6.5 9%
Jacksonville State (12-6) 67 72 -8.0 76% 71 -6.5 91%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee State (5-10) 79 72 -2.0 58% 69 +3.5 22%
SIUE (7-10) 82 70 +2.0 42% 73 -3.5 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Kentucky (6-11) 89 74 +7.0 27% 75 +4.0 19%
Southeast Missouri (6-11) 86 81 -7.0 73% 79 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Murray State (11-4) 71 79 -9.0 78% 74 +1.0 40%
Tennessee Tech (10-7) 45 70 +9.0 22% 75 -1.0 60%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Morehead State (3-12) 71 68 +7.0 27% 70 +2.5 27%
Tennessee-Martin (4-13) 67 75 -7.0 73% 72 -2.5 73%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 33%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.