Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Kentucky (12-5) 73 81 -13.0 86% 81 -13.5 99%
Charlotte (4-11) 63 68 +13.0 14% 67 +13.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Miss (5-10) 49 61 +15.0 11% 53 +30.0 0%
Middle Tennessee (12-4) 69 76 -15.0 89% 83 -30.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Marshall (11-6) 76 74 +10.0 20% 76 +6.0 10%
Old Dominion (13-4) 82 84 -10.0 80% 82 -6.0 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Texas (8-8) 85 73 -6.0 70% 72 -4.5 84%
Rice (2-14) 78 67 +6.0 30% 68 +4.5 16%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Louisiana Tech (8-9) 62 69 +10.0 20% 68 +11.5 2%
UAB (11-5) 74 79 -10.0 80% 80 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
FIU (5-10) 68 68 +2.0 42% 65 +9.0 4%
UTEP (6-11) 72 70 -2.0 58% 74 -9.0 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
FAU (5-9) 73 73 +7.0 27% 75 +2.0 31%
UTSA (6-10) 69 80 -7.0 73% 77 -2.0 69%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 86%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 86%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.