Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Bowling Green (9-6) 78 77 +2.0 42% 76 +5.0 13%
Akron (7-8) 80 79 -2.0 58% 81 -5.0 87%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama A&M (2-16) 67 67 +6.0 30% 65 +10.0 3%
Alabama State (3-14) 70 73 -6.0 70% 75 -10.0 97%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Southern (12-5) 60 76 -3.0 61% 79 -9.0 96%
Appalachian State (6-11) 59 73 +3.0 39% 70 +9.0 4%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon (12-6) 83 75 +7.0 27% 71 +15.0 1%
Arizona (14-4) 90 82 -7.0 73% 86 -15.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon State (10-7) 75 71 +13.0 14% 69 +16.0 0%
Arizona State (14-3) 77 84 -13.0 86% 85 -16.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri (11-5) 63 75 +5.0 33% 75 +3.5 21%
Arkansas (12-5) 65 80 -5.0 67% 79 -3.5 79%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UTA (11-7) 97 81 -7.0 73% 83 -12.5 99%
Arkansas State (4-13) 71 74 +7.0 27% 71 +12.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern (4-13) 76 69 +1.0 46% 67 +5.0 15%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (5-14) 78 70 -1.0 54% 72 -5.0 85%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida A&M (2-18) 81 72 +15.0 11% 71 +16.0 0%
Bethune-Cookman (8-9) 99 87 -15.0 89% 87 -16.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
San Diego State (10-5) 80 69 +5.0 33% 65 +12.0 2%
Boise State (14-3) 83 74 -5.0 67% 77 -12.0 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Dartmouth (3-10) 72 65 +17.0 9% 60 +27.0 0%
Boston College (13-6) 86 82 -17.0 91% 87 -27.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (OH) (7-8) 66 71 +12.0 16% 67 +19.5 0%
Buffalo (11-5) 82 83 -12.0 84% 87 -19.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
New Mexico State (13-3) 66 69 -12.0 84% 71 -15.0 100%
Cal State Bakersfield (4-11) 53 57 +12.0 16% 56 +15.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Davis (9-6) 70 69 +2.0 42% 68 +5.0 14%
Cal State Fullerton (9-5) 85 71 -2.0 58% 73 -5.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Irvine (5-13) 71 68 -6.0 70% 72 -13.5 99%
Cal State Northridge (1-14) 54 62 +6.0 30% 58 +13.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Bryant (2-17) 76 66 +13.0 14% 67 +10.5 3%
Central Connecticut (9-10) 80 79 -13.0 86% 77 -10.5 97%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Toledo (10-6) 93 72 +7.0 27% 76 -2.5 73%
Central Michigan (9-5) 82 79 -7.0 73% 74 +2.5 27%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Kentucky (12-5) 73 81 -13.0 86% 81 -13.5 99%
Charlotte (4-11) 63 68 +13.0 14% 67 +13.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (FL) (13-4) 63 62 +6.0 30% 63 +4.5 15%
Clemson (15-2) 72 68 -6.0 70% 67 -4.5 85%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia State (11-6) 72 68 +1.0 46% 72 -8.5 95%
Coastal Carolina (4-12) 58 69 -1.0 54% 64 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Evansville (10-7) 65 67 +2.0 42% 69 -1.5 63%
Drake (10-8) 81 69 -2.0 58% 67 +1.5 37%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Hofstra (10-7) 91 79 -1.0 54% 83 -10.5 98%
Drexel (6-12) 86 78 +1.0 46% 73 +10.5 2%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wake Forest (8-9) 71 74 +21.0 5% 70 +27.5 0%
Duke (16-2) 89 95 -21.0 95% 98 -27.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
La Salle (7-11) 94 66 +9.0 22% 66 +8.5 5%
Duquesne (13-5) 101 75 -9.0 78% 74 -8.5 95%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
VMI (3-11) 48 55 +26.0 3% 51 +35.0 0%
East Tennessee State (12-4) 89 81 -26.0 97% 86 -35.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Belmont (13-6) 75 68 -5.0 67% 74 -17.0 100%
Eastern Illinois (4-11) 66 63 +5.0 33% 57 +17.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Charleston (10-6) 58 69 +1.0 46% 69 +1.0 39%
Elon (10-7) 63 70 -1.0 54% 70 -1.0 61%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Robert Morris (11-8) 81 74 -1.0 54% 77 -8.0 94%
Fairleigh Dickinson (3-12) 75 73 +1.0 46% 69 +8.0 6%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
NJIT (6-10) 54 68 +12.0 16% 65 +18.0 0%
FGCU (9-8) 68 80 -12.0 84% 83 -18.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Syracuse (12-6) 90 66 +9.0 22% 68 +4.5 16%
Florida State (13-5) 101 75 -9.0 78% 72 -4.5 84%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
New Mexico (7-11) 80 71 +10.0 20% 70 +13.0 1%
Fresno State (11-6) 89 81 -10.0 80% 83 -13.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Louis (7-10) 81 64 +1.0 46% 60 +8.5 5%
George Mason (9-9) 86 65 -1.0 54% 68 -8.5 95%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina (10-6) 64 61 +4.0 36% 60 +6.0 10%
Georgia (11-5) 57 65 -4.0 64% 66 -6.0 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Prairie View A&M (4-14) 71 74 +2.0 42% 73 +5.0 13%
Grambling (6-12) 80 76 -2.0 58% 78 -5.0 87%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UTRGV (9-9) 71 65 +16.0 10% 66 +14.0 1%
Grand Canyon (12-6) 84 81 -16.0 90% 80 -14.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Binghamton (8-9) 65 69 +2.0 42% 66 +7.5 7%
Hartford (9-9) 97 71 -2.0 58% 74 -7.5 93%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Baylor (11-6) 65 74 -4.0 64% 72 -0.5 58%
Iowa State (10-6) 75 70 +4.0 36% 72 +0.5 42%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Omaha (4-14) 78 76 +15.0 11% 76 +14.0 1%
IPFW (9-8) 82 91 -15.0 89% 90 -14.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas Southern (3-15) 80 70 +3.0 39% 69 +4.0 19%
Jackson State (7-10) 85 73 -3.0 61% 73 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Lipscomb (8-7) 69 80 -3.0 61% 82 -8.0 95%
Jacksonville (5-11) 87 77 +3.0 39% 74 +8.0 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Austin Peay (8-8) 87 64 +7.0 27% 64 +6.5 9%
Jacksonville State (12-6) 67 71 -7.0 73% 70 -6.5 91%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Delaware (9-8) 61 74 +2.0 42% 81 -11.0 98%
James Madison (3-15) 60 76 -2.0 58% 70 +11.0 2%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas State (12-5) 72 68 +11.0 18% 63 +21.0 0%
Kansas (15-3) 73 79 -11.0 82% 84 -21.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas State (10-7) 72 60 -2.0 58% 63 -8.5 95%
Little Rock (4-13) 70 58 +2.0 42% 55 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wagner (9-6) 67 75 +1.0 46% 75 +0.5 50%
Long Island (7-11) 69 76 -1.0 54% 75 -0.5 50%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
ULM (4-9) 48 63 +19.0 7% 60 +24.5 0%
Louisiana (13-3) 82 82 -19.0 93% 84 -24.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech (13-5) 86 76 +3.0 39% 72 +10.0 3%
Louisville (13-4) 94 79 -3.0 61% 82 -10.0 97%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Bradley (12-6) 65 58 +6.0 30% 56 +10.5 2%
Loyola-Chicago (13-4) 81 64 -6.0 70% 66 -10.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama (11-6) 74 72 +7.0 27% 78 -5.5 88%
LSU (11-5) 66 79 -7.0 73% 72 +5.5 12%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Albany (13-6) 84 75 -10.0 80% 80 -20.5 100%
Maine (2-16) 66 65 +10.0 20% 60 +20.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Siena (5-14) 61 64 +9.0 22% 64 +8.5 4%
Manhattan (9-9) 72 73 -9.0 78% 72 -8.5 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Fairfield (6-11) 89 79 -2.0 58% 79 -2.5 71%
Marist (4-13) 95 77 +2.0 42% 77 +2.5 29%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Samford (5-11) 50 68 +16.0 10% 72 +7.5 6%
Mercer (7-9) 81 84 -16.0 90% 80 -7.5 94%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan (15-4) 82 63 +11.0 18% 65 +6.5 8%
Michigan State (16-3) 72 74 -11.0 82% 71 -6.5 92%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Miss (5-10) 49 61 +15.0 11% 53 +30.0 0%
Middle Tennessee (12-4) 69 76 -15.0 89% 83 -30.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Purdue (17-2) 81 82 -11.0 82% 80 -8.0 94%
Minnesota (14-6) 47 71 +11.0 18% 72 +8.0 6%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Auburn (16-1) 76 75 -1.0 54% 78 -8.0 95%
Mississippi State (12-4) 68 74 +1.0 46% 70 +8.0 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Alcorn State (1-14) 77 68 -2.0 58% 70 -6.0 89%
Mississippi Valley State (0-18) 63 66 +2.0 42% 64 +6.0 11%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah State (9-9) 57 68 +16.0 10% 65 +22.0 0%
Nevada (16-3) 83 84 -16.0 90% 87 -22.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (1-11) 55 59 +11.0 18% 58 +11.5 2%
New Orleans (5-9) 61 70 -11.0 82% 70 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Central Arkansas (8-10) 79 86 +7.0 27% 86 +5.5 12%
Nicholls State (7-8) 86 93 -7.0 73% 92 -5.5 88%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Morgan State (5-11) 67 70 +10.0 20% 73 +4.5 17%
North Carolina A&T (8-8) 69 80 -10.0 80% 77 -4.5 83%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Coppin State (1-19) 61 53 +23.0 4% 52 +24.5 0%
North Carolina Central (7-8) 81 76 -23.0 96% 76 -24.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Weber State (7-7) 79 82 -8.0 76% 78 +1.0 39%
North Dakota (4-11) 89 74 +8.0 24% 79 -1.0 61%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oral Roberts (6-12) 64 63 +14.0 12% 65 +10.5 2%
North Dakota State (8-8) 82 77 -14.0 88% 75 -10.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kennesaw State (2-14) 78 80 +5.0 33% 75 +14.0 1%
North Florida (5-12) 85 85 -5.0 67% 89 -14.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Idaho State (6-8) 80 67 +12.0 16% 65 +16.5 0%
Northern Colorado (9-7) 94 79 -12.0 84% 81 -16.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Michigan (6-7) 66 71 +1.0 46% 70 +1.5 34%
Northern Illinois (7-8) 72 72 -1.0 54% 72 -1.5 66%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Valparaiso (9-8) 76 60 +4.0 36% 60 +4.0 19%
Northern Iowa (7-9) 81 64 -4.0 64% 64 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Abilene Christian (8-7) 69 79 -14.0 88% 76 -8.5 95%
Northwestern State (1-11) 58 65 +14.0 12% 68 +8.5 5%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina (14-4) 69 73 +3.0 39% 75 -2.0 68%
Notre Dame (12-5) 68 76 -3.0 61% 73 +2.0 32%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
TCU (13-4) 97 91 +6.0 30% 88 +11.5 2%
Oklahoma (14-2) 102 97 -6.0 70% 100 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas (11-6) 64 69 +3.0 39% 70 +0.5 41%
Oklahoma State (12-6) 65 72 -3.0 61% 70 -0.5 59%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Marshall (11-6) 76 74 +10.0 20% 76 +6.0 10%
Old Dominion (13-4) 82 84 -10.0 80% 82 -6.0 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida (12-5) 72 81 -2.0 58% 83 -6.0 89%
Ole Miss (10-7) 78 79 +2.0 42% 77 +6.0 11%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Columbia (2-12) 71 69 +14.0 12% 65 +23.0 0%
Penn (11-5) 77 83 -14.0 88% 88 -23.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Mary's College (17-2) 91 85 -20.0 94% 93 -36.5 100%
Pepperdine (2-15) 67 65 +20.0 6% 57 +36.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Tech (10-7) 69 61 -2.0 58% 63 -6.0 89%
Pittsburgh (8-10) 54 59 +2.0 42% 57 +6.0 11%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Pacific (8-10) 66 73 -1.0 54% 77 -10.0 97%
Portland (3-13) 54 72 +1.0 46% 67 +10.0 3%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Montana (11-5) 92 81 +5.0 33% 84 -1.0 61%
Portland State (9-6) 89 86 -5.0 67% 83 +1.0 39%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Cornell (5-9) 54 67 +14.0 12% 64 +21.0 0%
Princeton (9-8) 91 81 -14.0 88% 85 -21.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Bonaventure (12-5) 73 68 +8.0 24% 64 +15.5 0%
Rhode Island (13-3) 87 76 -8.0 76% 80 -15.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
North Texas (8-8) 85 73 -6.0 70% 72 -4.5 84%
Rice (2-14) 78 67 +6.0 30% 68 +4.5 16%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
George Washington (8-10) 68 63 +3.0 39% 64 +0.5 52%
Richmond (4-13) 78 66 -3.0 61% 64 -0.5 48%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Montana State (9-8) 68 71 +1.0 46% 74 -5.0 86%
Sacramento State (3-13) 87 72 -1.0 54% 69 +5.0 14%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Sacred Heart (6-12) 92 68 +5.0 33% 70 +0.5 54%
Saint Francis (NY) (4-12) 52 73 -5.0 67% 70 -0.5 46%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Mount Saint Mary's (8-9) 81 75 +11.0 18% 78 +4.0 19%
Saint Francis (PA) (8-7) 80 86 -11.0 82% 82 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Villanova (16-1) 78 81 -10.0 80% 88 -24.0 100%
Saint John's (9-8) 71 71 +10.0 20% 64 +24.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Houston Baptist (1-14) 68 66 +13.0 14% 64 +15.5 0%
Sam Houston State (6-8) 81 79 -13.0 86% 80 -15.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Loyola-Marymount (5-11) 71 64 +14.0 12% 65 +13.0 1%
San Diego (12-5) 75 78 -14.0 88% 78 -13.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Gonzaga (16-3) 75 80 -14.0 88% 82 -18.5 100%
San Francisco (9-9) 65 66 +14.0 12% 64 +18.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Air Force (5-10) 78 65 +1.0 46% 66 -1.0 59%
San Jose State (2-14) 71 66 -1.0 54% 65 +1.0 41%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
BYU (15-4) 84 73 -12.0 84% 75 -15.0 99%
Santa Clara (5-11) 50 61 +12.0 16% 60 +15.0 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Maryland Eastern Shore (3-15) 59 78 +10.0 20% 77 +12.0 1%
Savannah State (4-13) 87 88 -10.0 80% 89 -12.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UMKC (3-14) 75 68 +14.0 12% 68 +15.0 1%
Seattle University (10-7) 77 82 -14.0 88% 83 -15.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgetown (12-5) 61 71 +9.0 22% 64 +22.0 0%
Seton Hall (15-3) 74 80 -9.0 78% 86 -22.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee State (5-10) 79 72 -2.0 58% 69 +3.5 22%
SIUE (7-10) 82 70 +2.0 42% 73 -3.5 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Troy (6-10) 79 69 +2.0 42% 71 -2.0 69%
South Alabama (7-9) 64 71 -2.0 58% 69 +2.0 31%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Howard (1-17) 88 79 +1.0 46% 72 +15.0 1%
South Carolina State (5-12) 91 80 -1.0 54% 87 -15.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Denver (5-11) 72 69 +18.0 8% 68 +21.0 0%
South Dakota State (12-5) 94 87 -18.0 92% 89 -21.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Cincinnati (15-2) 78 73 -23.0 96% 78 -34.5 100%
South Florida (7-11) 55 50 +23.0 4% 44 +34.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Kentucky (6-11) 89 74 +7.0 27% 75 +4.0 19%
Southeast Missouri (6-11) 86 81 -7.0 73% 79 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
McNeese State (3-10) 71 68 +5.0 33% 63 +14.5 1%
Southeastern Louisiana (7-8) 62 73 -5.0 67% 77 -14.5 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois State (8-9) 70 68 +8.0 24% 72 +0.5 46%
Southern Illinois (10-8) 74 76 -8.0 76% 72 -0.5 54%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Northern Arizona (2-14) 75 76 +10.0 20% 76 +11.0 2%
Southern Utah (5-9) 81 86 -10.0 80% 87 -11.0 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Incarnate Word (1-10) 63 65 +20.0 6% 62 +26.5 0%
Stephen F. Austin (11-3) 83 85 -20.0 94% 88 -26.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina Upstate (1-15) 69 72 +12.0 16% 73 +10.5 2%
Stetson (6-10) 87 84 -12.0 84% 83 -10.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Memphis (12-6) 75 66 +5.0 33% 69 -2.0 70%
Temple (8-9) 72 71 -5.0 67% 67 +2.0 30%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M (11-6) 62 69 +6.0 30% 70 +5.0 14%
Tennessee (12-4) 75 75 -6.0 70% 75 -5.0 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Murray State (11-4) 71 79 -9.0 78% 74 +1.0 40%
Tennessee Tech (10-7) 45 70 +9.0 22% 75 -1.0 60%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Morehead State (3-12) 71 68 +7.0 27% 70 +2.5 27%
Tennessee-Martin (4-13) 67 75 -7.0 73% 72 -2.5 73%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
West Virginia (15-3) 71 67 +6.0 30% 70 +0.5 43%
Texas Tech (15-2) 72 73 -6.0 70% 70 -0.5 57%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Chattanooga (4-13) 101 87 -2.0 58% 85 +2.0 33%
The Citadel (3-11) 110 85 +2.0 42% 87 -2.0 67%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Connecticut (10-7) 67 68 +7.0 27% 73 -4.5 85%
Tulane (11-6) 57 75 -7.0 73% 69 +4.5 15%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Wichita State (15-2) 72 82 -11.0 82% 86 -19.5 100%
Tulsa (10-8) 69 71 +11.0 18% 66 +19.5 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Louisiana Tech (8-9) 62 69 +10.0 20% 68 +11.5 2%
UAB (11-5) 74 79 -10.0 80% 80 -11.5 98%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Long Beach State (7-11) 75 71 +5.0 33% 77 -7.5 94%
UC Riverside (3-13) 68 76 -5.0 67% 69 +7.5 6%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Colorado (11-7) 68 74 +10.0 20% 73 +13.0 1%
UCLA (13-5) 59 84 -10.0 80% 86 -13.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UMBC (10-7) 89 81 -6.0 70% 84 -12.5 99%
UMass-Lowell (5-11) 62 75 +6.0 30% 72 +12.5 1%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Northeastern (10-7) 81 82 -5.0 67% 82 -6.5 91%
UNCW (3-13) 77 77 +5.0 33% 76 +6.5 9%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Chicago State (0-18) 58 61 +33.0 1% 59 +36.5 0%
Utah Valley (11-5) 83 94 -33.0 99% 95 -36.5 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
FIU (5-10) 68 68 +2.0 42% 65 +9.0 4%
UTEP (6-11) 72 70 -2.0 58% 74 -9.0 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
FAU (5-9) 73 73 +7.0 27% 75 +2.0 31%
UTSA (6-10) 69 80 -7.0 73% 77 -2.0 69%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Kentucky (14-3) 74 74 -5.0 67% 80 -17.0 100%
Vanderbilt (6-11) 67 69 +5.0 33% 63 +17.0 0%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Stony Brook (6-11) 62 65 +13.0 14% 61 +21.0 0%
Vermont (13-5) 73 78 -13.0 86% 82 -21.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Stanford (10-8) 73 72 +6.0 30% 73 +4.0 19%
Washington (13-5) 64 78 -6.0 70% 77 -4.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
California (7-10) 53 71 +11.0 18% 75 +1.5 36%
Washington State (9-8) 78 82 -11.0 82% 77 -1.5 64%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
UNCG (9-5) 66 73 -14.0 88% 70 -8.0 94%
Western Carolina (7-10) 55 59 +14.0 12% 62 +8.0 6%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Ball State (10-6) 58 70 +5.0 33% 71 +1.5 35%
Western Michigan (9-6) 73 75 -5.0 67% 73 -1.5 65%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Towson (11-6) 99 81 -1.0 54% 78 +3.5 20%
William & Mary (10-5) 73 80 +1.0 46% 82 -3.5 80%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Furman (11-5) 70 74 +1.0 46% 72 +3.5 23%
Wofford (9-5) 79 75 -1.0 54% 76 -3.5 77%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Colorado State (9-9) 78 71 +10.0 20% 75 +3.0 24%
Wyoming (10-7) 73 81 -10.0 80% 78 -3.0 76%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Creighton (14-4) 70 83 +3.0 39% 80 +8.0 5%
Xavier (16-3) 92 86 -3.0 61% 88 -8.0 95%


Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 85%
Overall Results (2577 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 79%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 76%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.