Game Result Predictions
Saturday, March 17
Saturday, March 17
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Rhode Island (26-8) | 62 | 72 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 71 | +9.5 | 3% | ✔ | |
| Duke (29-8) | 87 | 80 | -8.0 | 76% | 80 | -9.5 | 97% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Taco Bell Arena (Boise, ID) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ohio State (25-9) | 84 | 72 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 70 | +7.5 | 7% | ✔ | |
| Gonzaga (32-5) | 90 | 77 | -5.0 | 67% | 77 | -7.5 | 93% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena (Wichita, KS) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Seton Hall (22-12) | 79 | 76 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 70 | +15.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Kansas (31-8) | 83 | 81 | -5.0 | 67% | 85 | -15.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Taco Bell Arena (Boise, ID) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Buffalo (26-9) | 75 | 80 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 75 | +10.0 | 3% | ✔ | |
| Kentucky (26-11) | 95 | 81 | -1.0 | 54% | 85 | -10.0 | 97% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena (Wichita, KS) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Houston (27-8) | 63 | 67 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 60 | +12.0 | 2% | ✔ | |
| Michigan (32-8) | 64 | 66 | +1.0 | 46% | 72 | -12.0 | 98% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Loyola-Chicago (31-6) | 63 | 64 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 65 | -2.5 | 71% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee (26-9) | 62 | 65 | -1.0 | 54% | 62 | +2.5 | 29% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Florida (21-13) | 66 | 67 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 65 | +5.5 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Texas Tech (27-10) | 69 | 70 | -3.0 | 61% | 70 | -5.5 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Alabama (20-16) | 58 | 68 | +15.0 | 11% | ✔ | 64 | +21.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Villanova (36-4) | 81 | 83 | -15.0 | 89% | 85 | -21.5 | 100% | |||
Saturday, March 17 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.