Game Result Predictions
Sunday, April 28
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tuscaloosa, AL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
LSU (40-26, Road 7-13) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
|
Alabama (30-26, Home 20-13) |
6 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 7 (-4) |
3 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Fayetteville, AR | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tennessee (40-21, Road 7-10) |
9 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
|
Arkansas (46-20, Home 33-7) |
11 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 20 (10) |
5 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Brighton, MA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Duke (35-27, Road 12-11) |
0 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✘ | 5 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Boston College (31-27, Home 13-11) |
5 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 5 (-6) |
4 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Omaha, NE | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Xavier (27-31, Road 15-21) |
8 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✘ | 3 | +4.5 | 25% | ✘ | |
|
Creighton (41-13, Home 13-5) |
1 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 9 (-3) |
8 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Greenville, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Tulane (32-26, Road 7-9) |
0 | 6 | +2.0 | 42% | 14 | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 24% | ✔ | |
|
East Carolina (47-18, Home 28-6) |
14 | 8 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 14 (0) |
9 | -4.5 | 76% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tallahassee, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Wake Forest (31-26, Road 9-15) |
2 | 7 | +1.0 | 46% | 15 | ✔ | 5 | +3.5 | 29% | ✔ | |
|
Florida State (42-23, Home 28-9) |
13 | 8 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 15 (0) |
8 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Atlanta, GA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Clemson (35-26, Road 10-12) |
7 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
|
Georgia Tech (43-19, Home 26-11) |
8 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 15 (3) |
7 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Louisville, KY | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Alabama A&M (16-35, Road 9-20) |
1 | 2 | +9.0 | 22% | 13 | ✔ | 0 | +13.5 | 4% | ✔ | |
|
Louisville (51-18, Home 33-8) |
32 | 11 | -9.0 | 78% | Actual: 33 (20) |
13 | -13.5 | 96% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Coral Gables, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Virginia Tech (26-27, Road 10-12) |
3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 11 | ✔ | 2 | +5.0 | 23% | ✔ | |
|
Miami (FL) (41-20, Home 25-9) |
4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 7 (-4) |
7 | -5.0 | 77% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Ann Arbor, MI | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Rutgers (20-31, Road 6-20) |
3 | 2 | +5.0 | 33% | 9 | ✔ | 0 | +9.5 | 9% | ✔ | |
|
Michigan (50-22, Home 22-4) |
8 | 7 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 11 (2) |
9 | -9.5 | 91% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Starkville, MS | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Georgia (46-17, Road 13-10) |
3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✔ | 4 | +2.0 | 36% | ✔ | |
|
Mississippi State (52-15, Home 37-5) |
19 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 22 (12) |
6 | -2.0 | 64% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Chapel Hill, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Virginia (32-24, Road 9-9) |
12 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✘ | 4 | +3.0 | 32% | ✘ | |
|
North Carolina (46-19, Home 35-8) |
5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 17 (5) |
7 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Notre Dame, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
North Carolina State (42-19, Road 15-7) |
4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 11 | ✘ | 5 | -1.5 | 60% | ✘ | |
|
Notre Dame (24-30, Home 11-13) |
5 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 9 (-2) |
4 | +1.5 | 40% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Oxford, MS | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Texas A&M (39-23-1, Road 11-9) |
3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
|
Ole Miss (41-27, Home 25-9) |
13 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 16 (6) |
5 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Corvallis, OR | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Washington State (11-42-1, Road 6-28-1) |
4 | 2 | +6.0 | 30% | 10 | ✔ | 1 | +6.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
|
Oregon State (36-20-1, Home 17-12) |
18 | 8 | -6.0 | 70% | Actual: 22 (12) |
8 | -6.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Stanford, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Arizona (32-24, Road 10-14) |
6 | 8 | +1.0 | 46% | 17 | ✘ | 6 | +3.0 | 33% | ✘ | |
|
Stanford (45-14, Home 25-8) |
3 | 9 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 9 (-8) |
9 | -3.0 | 67% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Austin, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
West Virginia (38-22, Road 17-13) |
3 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 9 | ✔ | 5 | -3.0 | 67% | ✔ | |
|
Texas (27-27, Home 21-11) |
2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 5 (-4) |
2 | +3.0 | 33% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lubbock, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Oklahoma State (40-21, Road 12-11) |
4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 5 | +1.0 | 42% | ✔ | |
|
Texas Tech (46-20, Home 30-7) |
12 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 16 (4) |
6 | -1.0 | 58% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Riverside, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UC Santa Barbara (45-11, Road 18-6) |
4 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 13 | ✘ | 8 | -5.5 | 78% | ✘ | |
|
UC Riverside (20-36, Home 12-12) |
9 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | Actual: 13 (0) |
3 | +5.5 | 22% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Los Angeles, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Utah (16-33, Road 3-19) |
0 | 2 | +6.0 | 30% | 10 | ✔ | 0 | +10.0 | 9% | ✔ | |
|
UCLA (52-11, Home 31-7) |
5 | 8 | -6.0 | 70% | Actual: 5 (-5) |
10 | -10.0 | 91% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nashville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Auburn (38-28, Road 14-13) |
2 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 2 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
|
Vanderbilt (59-12, Home 33-6) |
5 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 7 (-5) |
9 | -7.0 | 84% | |||