NCAA Tournament
College World Series Prediction
Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1
probabilities of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
1
Day
3
Day
5
Day
7/8*
(3) Oregon State (4-1) 44.1% 13.1% 24.5% 58.0%
(6) North Carolina (1-2) 30.6% 53.0% 14.5% ---
Mississippi State (2-2) 17.1% 32.3% 61.0% 42.0%
Washington (0-2) 8.2% 1.6% --- ---

CWS Bracket 2
probabilities of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
2
Day
4
Day
6
Day
7/8*
(1) Florida (2-2) 33.3% 8.2% 16.7% 29.2%
(5) Arkansas (3-0) 34.4% 53.3% 75.4% 70.8%
Texas Tech (1-2) 18.7% 35.4% 7.9% ---
Texas (0-2) 13.6% 3.1% --- ---

National Championship
probabilities of winning the 2018 National Championship

Initial Updated
(1) Florida 15.6% ---
(3) Oregon State 26.0% 61.9%
(5) Arkansas 16.4% 38.1%
(6) North Carolina 19.4% ---
Texas Tech 10.9% ---
Mississippi State 5.4% ---
Texas 4.3% ---
Washington 2.0% ---