Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Long Beach State (27-30) | 5 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 2 | +4.0 | 27% | ✘ | |
| Cal State Fullerton (36-25) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arkansas (48-21) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
| Florida (49-21) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| South Carolina (37-26) | 5 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Georgia (39-21) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Memphis (20-36) | 0 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 1 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
| Houston (38-25) | 2 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Auburn (43-23) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
| Kentucky (34-22) | 5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 5 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Clemson (47-16) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 49% | ✘ | |
| Louisville (45-19) | 1 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 51% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Stetson (48-13) | 12 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Maryland (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 2 | +6.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Mississippi State (39-29) | 1 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
| Missouri (34-22) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 3 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Minnesota (43-15) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | ✔ | |
| Nebraska (24-28) | 1 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Florida State (43-19) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✘ | |
| North Carolina (44-20) | 3 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Florida State (43-19) | 8 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✔ | |
| North Carolina (44-20) | 16 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Georgia Tech (31-27) | 2 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
| North Carolina State (42-18) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Georgia Tech (31-27) | 13 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✘ | |
| North Carolina State (42-18) | 4 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Duke (45-18) | 12 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | -4.0 | 74% | ✔ | |
| Pittsburgh (29-26) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 2 | +4.0 | 26% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Connecticut (37-22-1) | 6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 50% | ✘ | |
| South Florida (36-22-1) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| USC (26-28) | 1 | 2 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 0 | +6.5 | 17% | ✔ | |
| Stanford (46-12) | 5 | 7 | -5.0 | 67% | 7 | -6.5 | 83% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Austin Peay (30-27) | 12 | 6 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee Tech (53-12) | 15 | 11 | -5.0 | 67% | 12 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Austin Peay (30-27) | 0 | 6 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee Tech (53-12) | 4 | 11 | -5.0 | 67% | 12 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Oklahoma State (31-26-1) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +3.5 | 29% | ✘ | |
| Texas (42-23) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Ole Miss (48-17) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 58% | ✘ | |
| Texas A&M (40-22) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 42% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Northeastern (36-21) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| Texas Tech (45-20) | 22 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Arizona State (23-32) | 4 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
| UCLA (38-21) | 5 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| LSU (39-27) | 2 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| Vanderbilt (35-27) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 65%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 61%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 65%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 61%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.