Game Result Predictions
Today, May 27

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Top 7th Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
SEC Tournament - Championship Game - Hoover Metropolitan Stadium (Hoover, AL) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Ole Miss (45-15) 7 6 -2.0 58% 5 -1.5 59%
LSU (37-24) 1 4 +2.0 42% 4 +1.5 41%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Sun Belt Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Russo Park (Lafayette, LA) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Troy (41-19) 6 5 +1.0 46% 4 +0.5 45%
Coastal Carolina (42-17) 11 6 -1.0 54% 5 -0.5 55%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
ACC Tournament - Championship Game - Durham Bulls Athletic Park (Durham, NC) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida State (43-17) 11 5 +1.0 46% 4 +0.5 53%
Louisville (43-17) 8 6 -1.0 54% 5 -0.5 47%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Big Ten Conference Tournament - Championship Game - TD Ameritrade Park (Omaha, NE) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Purdue (37-19) 4 4 +2.0 42% 4 +1.5 41%
Minnesota (40-13) 6 6 -2.0 58% 5 -1.5 59%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Conference USA Tournament - Game 14 - MGM Park (Biloxi, MS) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Charlotte (34-24) 0 4 +3.0 39% 4 +1.5 41%
Southern Miss (43-16) 6 7 -3.0 61% 5 -1.5 59%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - MGM Park (Biloxi, MS) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
FAU (40-17-1) 3 5 +2.0 42% 5 +0.5 51%
Southern Miss (43-16) 12 7 -2.0 58% 6 -0.5 49%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
OVC Tournament - Championship Game - Choccolocco Park (Oxford, AL) Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Morehead State (36-24) 4 7 +3.0 39% 6 +4.0 27%
Tennessee Tech (48-9) 3 10 -3.0 61% 10 -4.0 73%


Today, May 27 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 67%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%


The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.