Game Result Predictions for Today, March 28


The Resid Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
The ELO Prediction calculates each team's margin of victory and probability of winning the game.

 
Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Montgomery, AL Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Auburn (21-6) 4 4 -1.0 54% -2.5 66%
Alabama (12-13) 3 3 +1.0 46% +2.5 34%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Wake Forest (19-7) 5 7 -2.0 58% -5.0 76%
Appalachian State (10-15) 4 5 +2.0 42% +5.0 24%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UNLV (10-17) 4 5 +2.0 42% +4.0 27%
Arizona State (11-12) 5 7 -2.0 58% -4.0 73%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Butler (15-7) 7 2 +2.0 42% +0.5 46%
Ball State (11-14) 3 4 -2.0 58% -0.5 54%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UTSA (12-11) 15 3 +4.0 36% +5.0 23%
Baylor (18-7) 9 7 -4.0 64% -5.0 77%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Middle Tennessee (10-14) 6 4 +4.0 36% +3.0 31%
Belmont (10-13) 4 8 -4.0 64% -3.0 69%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
North Florida (18-9) 5 4 +1.0 46% +0.5 47%
Bethune-Cookman (17-9) 4 5 -1.0 54% -0.5 53%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Youngstown State (5-16) 3 4 +3.0 39% +0.5 45%
Bowling Green (5-16) 1 7 -3.0 61% -0.5 55%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (6-17) 3 3 +7.0 27% +5.0 24%
Central Arkansas (13-14) 9 10 -7.0 73% -5.0 76%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Georgia Southern (15-10) 8 5 +1.0 46% -2.0 63%
Charleston (10-15) 4 6 -1.0 54% +2.0 37%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Lexington, SC Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
South Carolina Upstate (13-14) 10 6 -1.0 54% +1.5 41%
Charleston Southern (12-10) 4 5 +1.0 46% -1.5 59%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Charlotte, NC (BB&T Ballpark) Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
North Carolina State (14-12) 15 3 +3.0 39% +0.5 48%
Charlotte (15-10) 10 6 -3.0 61% -0.5 52%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Furman (11-12) 0 2 +5.0 33% +9.5 10%
Clemson (21-4) 8 7 -5.0 67% -9.5 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UC Davis (6-12) 3 4 +1.0 46% +1.5 39%
Creighton (7-12) 4 5 -1.0 54% -1.5 61%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UTA (12-14) 7 2 +5.0 33% +3.5 30%
Dallas Baptist (15-9) 12 7 -5.0 67% -3.5 70%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Davidson (11-12) 6 4 +3.0 39% +4.0 27%
Duke (14-13) 8 7 -3.0 61% -4.0 73%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Liberty (14-9) 6 4 +2.0 42% +2.0 37%
East Carolina (18-8) 8 6 -2.0 58% -2.0 63%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Oakland (3-18) 3 4 +3.0 39% +3.0 32%
Eastern Michigan (6-17) 2 7 -3.0 61% -3.0 68%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Jacksonville, FL Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Florida (17-9) 4 3 +3.0 39% +0.5 52%
Florida State (18-8) 1 6 -3.0 61% -0.5 48%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Cal Poly (8-16) 8 3 +4.0 36% +3.0 32%
Fresno State (14-10) 12 7 -4.0 64% -3.0 68%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Towson (8-11) 4 2 +3.0 39% +1.0 42%
George Washington (11-13) 13 5 -3.0 61% -1.0 58%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Savannah State (9-16) 3 3 +4.0 36% +6.5 18%
Georgia (11-15) 12 7 -4.0 64% -6.5 82%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Elon (12-13) 14 4 +1.0 46% +0.5 49%
High Point (10-13) 8 5 -1.0 54% -0.5 51%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Incarnate Word (13-13) 1 1 +7.0 27% +9.0 11%
Houston (19-5) 8 8 -7.0 73% -9.0 89%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Bradley (6-12) 2 7 +1.0 46% +0.5 48%
Illinois (6-16) 0 8 -1.0 54% -0.5 52%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Saint Louis (17-6) 1 6 -1.0 54% -3.5 70%
Illinois State (7-15) 2 5 +1.0 46% +3.5 30%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Evansville (8-16) 3 3 +5.0 33% +5.0 24%
Indiana (14-8-1) 6 8 -5.0 67% -5.0 76%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Southern (4-16) 4 2 +7.0 27% +6.0 20%
Jackson State (12-11) 5 9 -7.0 73% -6.0 80%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
VMI (11-13) 6 4 +5.0 33% +5.0 22%
James Madison (16-7) 1 9 -5.0 67% -5.0 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Minnesota (15-8) 5 4 +1.0 46% -3.0 67%
Kansas (10-14) 2 5 -1.0 54% +3.0 33%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Cincinnati (12-12) 7 0 +7.0 27% +5.0 22%
Kentucky (19-7) 13 7 -7.0 73% -5.0 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
ULM (8-18) 3 2 +8.0 24% +7.0 16%
Louisiana Tech (17-8) 12 10 -8.0 76% -7.0 84%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Western Kentucky (9-17) 1 1 +9.0 22% +11.5 6%
Louisville (22-2) 11 10 -9.0 78% -11.5 94%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Tulane (10-15) 7 2 +7.0 27% +6.0 20%
LSU (17-8) 6 9 -7.0 73% -6.0 80%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Eastern Kentucky (14-12) 6 7 +1.0 46% +4.0 27%
Marshall (11-11) 3 8 -1.0 54% -4.0 73%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Louisiana-Lafayette (14-9) 3 3 +4.0 36% +1.5 40%
McNeese State (18-7) 1 7 -4.0 64% -1.5 60%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Mississippi State (16-10) 8 5 +1.0 46% -1.0 57%
Memphis (16-8) 3 6 -1.0 54% +1.0 43%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Georgia Tech (14-9) 11 6 +3.0 39% +2.5 35%
Mercer (21-6) 3 9 -3.0 61% -2.5 65%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Toledo (5-19) 0 1 +8.0 24% +7.5 14%
Michigan (18-6) 12 9 -8.0 76% -7.5 86%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Western Michigan (11-9) 3 3 +6.0 30% +3.5 29%
Michigan State (15-6) 2 9 -6.0 70% -3.5 71%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Southeast Missouri (12-10) 6 4 +4.0 36% +5.0 23%
Missouri (21-4) 5 8 -4.0 64% -5.0 77%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Oral Roberts (17-7) 3 3 +2.0 42% +0.5 50%
Missouri State (15-9) 1 5 -2.0 58% -0.5 50%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Alabama A&M (8-19) 6 2 +9.0 22% +9.5 9%
Morehead State (18-6) 13 11 -9.0 78% -9.5 91%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Kansas State (15-10) 1 3 +2.0 42% +2.0 36%
Nebraska (13-10) 11 5 -2.0 58% -2.0 64%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
San Francisco (14-11) 9 5 -1.0 54% +0.5 51%
Nevada (7-18) 6 4 +1.0 46% -0.5 49%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
New Mexico (16-9) 5 8 -1.0 54% -1.0 56%
New Mexico State (12-12) 3 7 +1.0 46% +1.0 44%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Alcorn State (7-16) 5 1 +5.0 33% +8.5 12%
Nicholls State (14-11) 13 6 -5.0 67% -8.5 88%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Coastal Carolina (15-10) 6 2 +4.0 36% +0.5 45%
North Carolina (19-6) 7 6 -4.0 64% -0.5 55%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Longwood (10-15) 5 4 +5.0 33% +1.0 42%
North Carolina Central (13-12) 3 9 -5.0 67% -1.0 58%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Miami (OH) (6-16) 5 4 +3.0 39% +2.0 38%
Northern Kentucky (8-14) 4 7 -3.0 61% -2.0 62%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Lamar (15-11) 9 8 -3.0 61% -3.5 69%
Northwestern State (7-16) 11 5 +3.0 39% +3.5 31%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Chicago State (6-15) 4 3 +4.0 36% +5.0 23%
Notre Dame (8-15) 7 7 -4.0 64% -5.0 77%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Ohio (10-12) 0 3 +2.0 42% +4.5 26%
Ohio State (10-14) 3 5 -2.0 58% -4.5 74%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Little Rock (9-16) 4 1 +4.0 36% +7.0 15%
Ole Miss (16-9) 5 5 -4.0 64% -7.0 85%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Air Force (11-13) 1 8 -1.0 54% -1.5 59%
Omaha (5-19) 0 7 +1.0 46% +1.5 41%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
West Virginia (13-9) 8 3 +1.0 46% -1.5 60%
Pittsburgh (11-11) 4 4 -1.0 54% +1.5 40%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Oregon (16-6) 1 4 -2.0 58% -8.0 87%
Portland (4-20) 0 2 +2.0 42% +8.0 13%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Kent State (15-7) 2 5 +1.0 46% -4.5 74%
Purdue (13-10) 3 6 -1.0 54% +4.5 26%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
East Tennessee State (12-10) 3 6 +1.0 46% -0.5 54%
Radford (11-13) 4 7 -1.0 54% +0.5 46%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Pacific (11-12) 1 3 +4.0 36% +0.5 52%
Sacramento State (12-11) 9 7 -4.0 64% -0.5 48%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Buffalo (7-14) 5 5 +2.0 42% +2.0 38%
Saint Bonaventure (7-10) 4 7 -2.0 58% -2.0 62%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Oregon State (21-1) 4 4 -1.0 54% -2.5 66%
Saint Mary's College (17-7) 3 3 +1.0 46% +2.5 34%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Rice (8-19) 5 2 +6.0 30% +5.5 21%
Sam Houston State (17-8) 3 8 -6.0 70% -5.5 79%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UC Riverside (11-9) 2 4 +2.0 42% +2.0 37%
San Diego (16-6) 10 6 -2.0 58% -2.0 63%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Stetson (10-17) 4 0 +8.0 24% +6.0 19%
South Florida (23-3) 9 8 -8.0 76% -6.0 81%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Arkansas State (12-12) 4 4 +3.0 39% +0.5 50%
Southern Illinois (12-13) 3 7 -3.0 61% -0.5 50%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
South Alabama (15-10) 2 6 +2.0 42% +4.0 26%
Southern Miss (20-5) 4 8 -2.0 58% -4.0 74%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Long Beach State (14-10) 3 2 +2.0 42% +0.5 50%
Stanford (14-6) 7 4 -2.0 58% -0.5 50%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Mississippi Valley State (4-16) 2 1 +6.0 30% +9.5 10%
Stephen F. Austin (14-13) 8 7 -6.0 70% -9.5 90%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UTRGV (14-12) 2 2 +5.0 33% +10.0 8%
TCU (18-5) 10 7 -5.0 67% -10.0 92%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Tennessee Tech (20-7) 0 6 +1.0 46% +0.5 51%
Tennessee (14-8) 6 7 -1.0 54% -0.5 49%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Texas (18-10) 12 6 -2.0 58% -4.0 72%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (8-16) 2 4 +2.0 42% +4.0 28%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Texas A&M (17-9) 9 6 +1.0 46% -0.5 54%
Texas State (16-9) 3 7 -1.0 54% +0.5 46%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Texas Southern (8-16) 4 0 +9.0 22% +12.0 5%
Texas Tech (23-4) 8 9 -9.0 78% -12.0 95%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
South Carolina (18-6) 15 5 -2.0 58% -8.5 88%
The Citadel (9-16) 1 3 +2.0 42% +8.5 12%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Samford (16-9) 5 2 +3.0 39% -0.5 55%
UAB (14-11) 1 5 -3.0 61% +0.5 45%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Loyola-Marymount (14-10) 4 4 +2.0 42% +0.5 46%
UC Irvine (11-10) 2 6 -2.0 58% -0.5 54%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Pepperdine (11-12) 3 2 +3.0 39% +1.0 42%
UC Santa Barbara (10-12) 10 5 -3.0 61% -1.0 58%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Jacksonville (12-15) 1 1 +5.0 33% +2.5 34%
UCF (20-6) 10 6 -5.0 67% -2.5 66%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Cal State Fullerton (15-9) 7 2 +1.0 46% -2.0 62%
UCLA (11-11) 9 3 -1.0 54% +2.0 38%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Northern Illinois (7-17) 1 1 +6.0 30% +4.0 27%
UIC (14-7) 6 7 -6.0 70% -4.0 73%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
UNC Asheville (10-13) 3 4 +6.0 30% +5.5 22%
UNCG (16-9) 14 10 -6.0 70% -5.5 78%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
San Diego State (16-9) 0 4 +1.0 46% +1.0 44%
USC (15-8) 2 5 -1.0 54% -1.0 56%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
BYU (11-11) 11 4 +2.0 42% +0.5 46%
Utah (10-12) 6 6 -2.0 58% -0.5 54%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Nashville, TN (First Tennessee Park) Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Lipscomb (14-10) 0 3 +3.0 39% +3.0 31%
Vanderbilt (17-9) 10 6 -3.0 61% -3.0 69%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Campbell (12-13) 15 5 +4.0 36% +1.5 40%
Virginia Tech (14-13) 8 9 -4.0 64% -1.5 60%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction Accuracy
Score Spread Win Prob. Spread Win Prob. Resid ELO
Norfolk State (9-13) 1 3 +4.0 36% +4.5 26%
William & Mary (14-10) 6 7 -4.0 64% -4.5 74%

Today, March 28 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 61%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 62%
 
Overall Results (3292 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 70%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.